Sunday , 16 August 2026

SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC VitoriaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb EC Vitoria H 5–1 W
28 Jan CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
07 Dec Ceará SC A 3–1 W
04 Dec CA Mineiro A 3–0 W
26 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
23 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb SE Palmeiras A 1–5 L
28 Jan Clube do Remo H 2–0 W
07 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras EC Vitoria
#1 Position #13
48 Points 26
23 Played 22
14 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 10
40 Scored 22
19 Conceded 33
+21 GD -11
2.09 PPG 1.18
61% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.64 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras69% Draw18% EC Vitoria13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Vitoria
31%
SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras55% Draw35% EC Vitoria10%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11.2%
3 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
5 – 0
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 33% 67%
-2 33% 21% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 21% 25%
-0.5 75% 25%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
45%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.