SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

5 – 1

Full Time

EC Vitoria

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 9 games · Avg 3.4 goals EC Vitoria

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria 2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W
26 Nov	Grêmio FBPA	A	2–3	L
23 Nov	Fluminense FC	H	0–0	D

EC Vitoria

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–5	L
28 Jan	Clube do Remo	H	2–0	W
07 Dec	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	RB Bragantino	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Mirassol FC	H	2–0	W
23 Nov	SC Recife	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		EC Vitoria
#1	Position	#13
41	Points	22
18	Played	17
12 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 7
30	Scored	21
13	Conceded	25
+17	GD	-4
2.28	PPG	1.29
67%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/1

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

EC Vitoria

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

1/7

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/–

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	6 G	3 A
Allan	4 G	2 A
Gustavo Gomez	3 G
Jhon Arias	3 G
Vitor Roque	3 G

EC Vitoria

Carlos Rene	5 G	1 A
Renato Kayzer	3 G	1 A
Gabriel Baralhas	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for SE Palmeiras and EC Vitoria.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Deyverson	2
Deyverson	2
Luan	1
Edu Dracena	1
Bruno Henrique	1
Gustavo Scarpa	1
Richard Rios	1
Osvaldo	1

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D

EC Vitoria Form

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria L 2026-01-28 EC Vitoria 2–0 Clube do Remo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.53 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 EC Vitoria xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras68% Draw19% EC Vitoria13%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

87%

Draw or EC Vitoria

32%

SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras54% Draw37% EC Vitoria9%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

11.3%

3 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

8.7%

1 – 1

3 – 1

7.5%

4 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

4.9%

4 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

3.1%

5 – 0

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	EC Vitoria covers
-2.5	31%	—	69%
-2	31%	21%	48%
-1.5	52%	—	48%
-1	52%	21%	27%
-0.5	73%	—	27%
+0.5	91%	—	9%
+1	91%	6%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.