SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

5 – 1

Full Time

EC Vitoria

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	28	60
2	SE Palmeiras	28	57
3	CA Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense FC	28	48
5	EC Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro EC	28	45
7	CA Mineiro	28	43
8	Santos FC	28	41
9	Coritiba FBC	28	38
10	Sao Paulo FC	28	36
11	RB Bragantino	28	36
12	Botafogo FR	28	35
13	EC Vitoria	28	33
14	SC Corinthians Paulista	28	32
15	Mirassol FC	28	32
16	CR Vasco da Gama	27	31
17	Gremio FBPA	28	29
18	SC Internacional	28	28
19	Clube do Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense AF	27	18

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 10 games · Avg 3.5 goals EC Vitoria

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria 2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W
26 Nov	Gremio FBPA	A	2–3	L
23 Nov	Fluminense FC	H	0–0	D

EC Vitoria

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–5	L
28 Jan	Clube do Remo	H	2–0	W
07 Dec	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	RB Bragantino	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Mirassol FC	H	2–0	W
23 Nov	SC Recife	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		EC Vitoria
#2	Position	#13
57	Points	33
28	Played	28
16 / 9 / 3	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 13
47	Scored	28
21	Conceded	42
+26	GD	-14
2.04	PPG	1.18
57%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

5/1

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

EC Vitoria

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

2/9

46-60

1/2

61-75

5/5

76+

4/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	8 G	4 A
Mauricio	7 G	1 A
Vitor Roque	5 G
Allan	4 G	3 A
Gustavo Gomez	4 G	2 A

EC Vitoria

Carlos Rene	8 G	1 A
Matheuzinho	4 G	2 A
Renato Kayzer	4 G	1 A
Gabriel Baralhas	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between SE Palmeiras and EC Vitoria.
SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Deyverson	2
Deyverson	2
Mauricio	1
Dudu	1
Jhon Arias	1
Ramon Sosa	1
Yago Felipe	1
Erick	1

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D

EC Vitoria Form

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria L 2026-01-28 EC Vitoria 2–0 Clube do Remo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.56 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.76 EC Vitoria xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras69% Draw19% EC Vitoria12%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 3.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

87%

Draw or EC Vitoria

31%

SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras55% Draw36% EC Vitoria9%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

11.8%

3 – 0

9.8%

1 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 1

7.7%

3 – 1

7.4%

4 – 0

6.2%

0 – 0

4.9%

4 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

3.3%

5 – 0

3.2%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	EC Vitoria covers
-2.5	32%	—	68%
-2	32%	21%	46%
-1.5	54%	—	46%
-1	54%	21%	25%
-0.5	75%	—	25%
+0.5	92%	—	8%
+1	92%	6%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

47% ✓

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.