SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

2 – 1

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 29 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 29 games · 51 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	29	61
2	SE Palmeiras	29	60
3	Fluminense FC	29	51
4	CA Paranaense	29	50
5	Cruzeiro EC	29	48
6	EC Bahia	29	46
7	CA Mineiro	29	44
8	Santos FC	29	42
9	Sao Paulo FC	30	39
10	Coritiba FBC	29	38
11	RB Bragantino	29	37
12	EC Vitoria	30	36
13	Botafogo FR	29	35
14	CR Vasco da Gama	29	35
15	Mirassol FC	29	33
16	SC Corinthians Paulista	29	32
17	SC Internacional	29	31
18	Gremio FBPA	29	30
19	Clube do Remo	30	25
20	Chapecoense AF	28	18

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Fluminense FC	H	2–1	W
13 Feb	SC Internacional	A	3–1	W
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
12 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	EC Bahia	A	1–1	D
28 Jan	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#2	Position	#3
60	Points	51
29	Played	29
17 / 9 / 3	W / D / L	14 / 9 / 6
48	Scored	48
21	Conceded	36
+27	GD	+12
2.07	PPG	1.76
59%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

45% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (60 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

4/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

5/1

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

5/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/5

61-75

5/5

76+

15/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	9 G	4 A
Mauricio	7 G	1 A
Vitor Roque	5 G
Allan	4 G	3 A
Gustavo Gomez	4 G	2 A

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	7 G	5 A
Jefferson Savarino	6 G	2 A
Luciano Acosta	5 G	5 A
Agustin Canobbio	5 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SE Palmeiras is hosting Fluminense FC for another epic battle.
With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
German Cano	3
Gustavo Gomez	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2
Kevin Serna	2
Yago Felipe	2
Mauricio	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-02-13 SC Internacional 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-02-12 Fluminense FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras56% Draw25% Fluminense FC19%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

81%

Draw or Fluminense FC

44%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras40% Draw45% Fluminense FC15%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

1 – 0

10.7%

2 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.2%

3 – 0

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

2.8%

0 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	24%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.