SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

2 – 1

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 19 games · Avg 1.9 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Fluminense FC	H	2–1	W
13 Feb	SC Internacional	A	3–1	W
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
12 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	EC Bahia	A	1–1	D
28 Jan	Grêmio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Grêmio FBPA	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#1	Position	#3
41	Points	31
18	Played	18
12 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	9 / 4 / 5
30	Scored	28
13	Conceded	23
+17	GD	+5
2.28	PPG	1.72
67%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/1

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	6 G	3 A
Allan	4 G	2 A
Gustavo Gomez	3 G
Jhon Arias	3 G
Vitor Roque	3 G

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Agustin Canobbio	4 G	1 A
Luciano Acosta	3 G	4 A
Jefferson Savarino	3 G	2 A
Rodrigo Castillo	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
Jhon Arias	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2
Yago Felipe	2
Dudu	2
German Cano	2
Manoel Messias	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-02-13 SC Internacional 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-02-12 Fluminense FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras57% Draw24% Fluminense FC19%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

81%

Draw or Fluminense FC

43%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras41% Draw45% Fluminense FC14%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 0

10.9%

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.2%

3 – 0

6.3%

3 – 1

5.8%

0 – 1

1 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

4.4%

4 – 0

2.9%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.