SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

2 – 1

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	28	60
2	SE Palmeiras	28	57
3	CA Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense FC	28	48
5	EC Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro EC	28	45
7	CA Mineiro	27	40
8	Santos FC	27	38
9	Coritiba FBC	28	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	36
11	Sao Paulo FC	27	36
12	Botafogo FR	28	35
13	EC Vitoria	28	33
14	SC Corinthians Paulista	28	32
15	Mirassol FC	28	32
16	CR Vasco da Gama	27	31
17	Gremio FBPA	28	29
18	SC Internacional	28	28
19	Clube do Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense AF	27	18

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Fluminense FC	H	2–1	W
13 Feb	SC Internacional	A	3–1	W
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
12 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	EC Bahia	A	1–1	D
28 Jan	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#2	Position	#4
57	Points	48
28	Played	28
16 / 9 / 3	W / D / L	13 / 9 / 6
47	Scored	44
21	Conceded	36
+26	GD	+8
2.04	PPG	1.71
57%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

5/1

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

4/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

4/5

76+

14/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	8 G	4 A
Mauricio	7 G	1 A
Vitor Roque	5 G
Allan	4 G	3 A
Gustavo Gomez	4 G	2 A

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	7 G	4 A
Agustin Canobbio	5 G	3 A
Luciano Acosta	4 G	5 A
Rodrigo Castillo	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SE Palmeiras is hosting Fluminense FC for another epic battle.
With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
German Cano	3
Manoel Messias	2
Jhon Arias	2
Gustavo Gomez	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2
Kevin Serna	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-02-13 SC Internacional 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-02-12 Fluminense FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.85 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras57% Draw24% Fluminense FC19%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.79

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

81%

Draw or Fluminense FC

43%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras41% Draw44% Fluminense FC15%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 0

10.6%

2 – 0

10.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

3 – 0

6.2%

3 – 1

5.9%

0 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.5%

4 – 0

2.9%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.