Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 25 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC Maracana 51,375 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Arias 87' 1–0
Ganso 42' Y
Y 57' Ze Rafael

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs SE PalmeirasSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
21 Jul Cuiaba EC A 1–0 W
11 Jul Criciúma EC A 1–1 D
07 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
04 Jul SC Internacional H 1–1 D
30 Jun Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
21 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
18 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
11 Jul AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
07 Jul EC Bahia H 2–0 W
04 Jul Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC SE Palmeiras
#4 Position #1
38 Points 48
23 Played 23
10 / 8 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 6 / 3
34 Scored 40
28 Conceded 19
+6 GD +21
1.65 PPG 2.09
43% Win % 61%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Fluminense FC host SE Palmeiras — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Richard Rios, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fluminense FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 19' Thiago Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 19.
  • 24' The 45-year-old Fabio has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' Poor challenge from Gustavo Gomez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andre suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Raphael Veiga on 43 minutes.
  • 46' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Anibal Moreno exits the field as Gabriel Menino enters on 46.
  • 51' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
  • 55' German Cano makes way for Rony at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Fluminense FCElias Kaua on, Dudu off on 57 minutes.
  • 57' Ze Rafael has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
  • 62' Ganso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
  • 67' SE Palmeiras make a change. Ganso trudges off to be replaced by Mauricio on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Martinelli makes way for Marcelo at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 74' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 84' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Thiago Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Jhon Arias makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 87.
  • 1-0 the final result. SE Palmeiras will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC40% Draw30% SE Palmeiras30%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
70%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
60%
Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC24% Draw53% SE Palmeiras23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.