Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jun | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jul | AC Goianiense | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 48 | Points | 57 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 3 |
| 44 | Scored | 47 |
| 36 | Conceded | 21 |
| +8 | GD | +26 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 2.04 |
| 46% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras is underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Ganso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 15' Fluminense FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 19' Thiago Santos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
- 24' Martinelli is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 29' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 31' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Gomez. He receives a card.
- 36' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 41' The 45-year-old Fabio has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' A moment of madness from Ganso on 42 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 43' Raphael Veiga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 46' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Anibal Moreno has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Menino to step up.
- 51' Samuel Xavier, a Brazil , has 48 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Rony on, German Cano off on 55 minutes.
- 57' Elias Kaua is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dudu at the 57 minute mark.
- 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ze Rafael.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Richard Rios suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Mauricio. He replaces Ganso on 67 minute.
- 69' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Marcelo to step up.
- 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 84' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 87' Jhon Arias is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- The points are shared — Fluminense FC 1-0 SE Palmeiras. Honours even.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 6
- 29
- 3
- 10
- 14
- 7
- 77
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Marcelo 69'
Bench
- 98
- 25
-
12
Marcelo ↑ 69'
- 16
- 11
- 20
- 4
- 9
- 45
- 53
- 19
Coach
Mano Menezes
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 23
- 21
- 2
- 7
- 15
- 9
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↓ Gabriel Menino 46'
- 6
- 42
- 44
Bench
- 10
- 16
- 14
- 18
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 46'
- 17
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 46'
- 57
- 20
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Adriano | 4 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Manoel Messias | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 2 |
| Kevin Serna | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
70%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
61%
Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

