Tuesday , 13 October 2026

Leeds United FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Elland Road 36,693 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Miley og 32' 1–0
Jayden Bogle 34' 2–0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45+1' 3–0
Noah Okafor 59' 4–0
4–1 90' Bazoumana Toure

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Adam Nunn
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–4 L
05 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
29 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Liverpool FC H 2–2 D
24 May Fulham FC A 0–2 L
17 May West Ham United FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Leeds United FC Newcastle United FC
#7 Position #11
9 Points 8
6 Played 6
2 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 2
8 Scored 10
5 Conceded 13
+3 GD -3
1.50 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 33%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Leeds United FC are 7th (9 pts). Newcastle United FC are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G
Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Leeds United FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC60% Draw22% Newcastle United FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
40%
Leeds United FC or Newcastle United FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC46% Draw40% Newcastle United FC14%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.