Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 0
Full Time
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 0.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Bahia H 2–0 W
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L
08 Nov SC Internacional A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC EC Bahia
#4 Position #5
48 Points 46
28 Played 28
13 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
44 Scored 43
36 Conceded 35
+8 GD +8
1.71 PPG 1.64
46% Win % 43%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Maracana will turn into a battlefield for Fluminense FC and EC Bahia.
  • 5' With 2 assists to his name this season, Everton Ribeiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
  • 9' Poor challenge from Nonato. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 14' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 0% of all matches.
  • 20' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolas Acevedo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Maracana. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Tiago on, Ademir Santos off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Freytes, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Everaldo is replaced by John Kennedy on 60 minute.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' EC Bahia ring the changes. Nicolas Acevedo has done his job and it is now time for Caio Alexandre to step up.
  • 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Samuel Xavier on 68 minutes.
  • 73' Brazil international Jean Lucas has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' Ganso has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano Acosta on 74 minute.
  • 75' GOAL! Ganso scores on 75.
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' A goal from the Brazil international Thiago Silva! He fires home on 83 to make it 2-0!
  • 84' Ruan Pablo is replacing Erick for the EC Bahia side.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Martinelli is replaced by Facundo Bernal on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigo Nestor.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Fluminense FC and EC Bahia (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC56% Draw24% EC Bahia20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Bahia
44%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC40% Draw43% EC Bahia17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.