Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
7 games this season
🟨 0.3/game
⚽ 3.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 48 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 44 | Scored | 43 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Maracana will turn into a battlefield for Fluminense FC and EC Bahia.
- 5' With 2 assists to his name this season, Everton Ribeiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 9' Poor challenge from Nonato. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 14' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 0% of all matches.
- 20' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolas Acevedo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Maracana. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Tiago on, Ademir Santos off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Freytes, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Everaldo is replaced by John Kennedy on 60 minute.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 67' EC Bahia ring the changes. Nicolas Acevedo has done his job and it is now time for Caio Alexandre to step up.
- 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Samuel Xavier on 68 minutes.
- 73' Brazil international Jean Lucas has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 74' Ganso has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano Acosta on 74 minute.
- 75' GOAL! Ganso scores on 75.
- 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 83' A goal from the Brazil international Thiago Silva! He fires home on 83 to make it 2-0!
- 84' Ruan Pablo is replacing Erick for the EC Bahia side.
- 87' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Martinelli is replaced by Facundo Bernal on 87 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigo Nestor.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Fluminense FC and EC Bahia (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 3
- 16
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Ganso 74'
- 22
-
9
Everaldo ↓ John Kennedy 60'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Facundo Bernal 87'
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Yeferson Soteldo 60'
Bench
- 29
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 74'
- 11
- 4
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 60'
- 27
-
99
John Kennedy ↑ 60'
-
35
Hercules ↑ 60'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 87'
- 28
- 19
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Tiago 46'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Cauly 84'
- 13
- 21
- 46
- 26
-
16
Erick ↓ Ruan Pablo 84'
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 84'
- 25
- 34
- 14
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↑ 67'
- 37
- 5
- 3
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 84'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Luiz Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Bahia
44%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

