Thursday , 17 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 15:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 4–0 W
18 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
11 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
16 Apr RC Celta de Vigo A 3–1 W
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg
#2 Position #1
9 Points 9
3 Played 3
3 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 0
8 Scored 10
2 Conceded 1
+6 GD +9
3.00 PPG 3.00
100% Win % 100%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
67% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (9 pts). SC Freiburg are 1st (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
2/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/
16-30
4/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund54% Draw26% SC Freiburg20%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
80%
Draw or SC Freiburg
46%
Borussia Dortmund or SC Freiburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund37% Draw47% SC Freiburg16%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.