Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC MHPArena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+4' Karim Adeyemi
0–2 90+6' Julian Brandt

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Jan Neitzel
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
15 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
12 Mar FC Porto H 1–2 L
07 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at MHPArena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lorenz Assignon, as he is very good at scoring at MHPArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Germany international Julian Brandt has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Carney Chukwuemeka on 29 minutes.
  • 34' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Nico Schlotterbeck has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' Waldemar Anton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 44' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 54' Karim Adeyemi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Carney Chukwuemeka as he leaves the pitch. Karim Adeyemi steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Ramon Hendriks. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Chris Fuhrich as he leaves the pitch. Jamie Leweling steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 71' Marcel Sabitzer was booked on 71.
  • 72' Julian Brandt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maximilian Beier on 72 minute.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Finn Jeltsch suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Karim Adeyemi. He receives a card.
  • 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 88' A tactical swap from VfB StuttgartErmedin Demirovic on, Maximilian Mittelstadt off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Julian Ryerson.
  • Borussia Dortmund celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart31% Draw37% Borussia Dortmund32%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
68%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
69%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart18% Draw62% Borussia Dortmund20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.8%
0 – 1
15.9%
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
2%
0 – 3
1.7%
1 – 3
1.4%
3 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 19% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 21% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
46%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.