Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC MHPArena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+4' Karim Adeyemi
0–2 90+6' Julian Brandt

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Jan Neitzel
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season 🟨 7.3/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
15 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
12 Mar FC Porto H 1–2 L
07 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#15 Position #1
3 Points 12
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
6 Scored 9
9 Conceded 2
-3 GD +7
0.75 PPG 3.00
25% Win % 100%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! VfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at MHPArena.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chema Andres suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Maximilian Beier scoring 1 goals.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 29' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 29.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sebastian Hoeneß will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Gregor Kobel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 64' Karim Adeyemi is replacing Carney Chukwuemeka for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 65' The referee has no hesitation. Ramon Hendriks is booked for VfB Stuttgart — card on 65.
  • 69' The whistle greets Chris Fuhrich as he departs to be replaced by Jamie Leweling.
  • 71' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 71.
  • 72' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Maximilian Beier has done his job and it is now time for Julian Brandt to step up.
  • 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 80' It’s gonna be a card for Karim Adeyemi.
  • 85' Karim Adeyemi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Ermedin Demirovic. He replaces Maximilian Mittelstadt on 88 minute.
  • 90' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • It finishes all square. VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund share the spoils 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.95 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart23% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund53%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
47%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
77%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart14% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund44%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 23% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 19% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.