Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC MHPArena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+4' Karim Adeyemi
0–2 90+6' Julian Brandt

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Jan Neitzel
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
15 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
12 Mar FC Porto H 1–2 L
07 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#4 Position #2
62 Points 73
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
71 Scored 70
49 Conceded 34
+22 GD +36
1.82 PPG 2.15
53% Win % 65%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MHPArena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Borussia Dortmund needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Borussia Dortmund is showing some good football. However, Borussia Dortmund are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' It’s high time Sebastian Hoeneß made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carney Chukwuemeka on 29.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Julian Ryerson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Angelo Stiller suffering a number of foals already.
  • 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
  • 54' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Borussia Dortmund winning 50% of all matches.
  • 59' Borussia Dortmund looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Julian Brandt scoring 1 goals.
  • 64' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Karim Adeyemi is hanging Carney Chukwuemeka on the field on 64 minute.
  • 65' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Ramon Hendriks gets a card.
  • 69' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Chris Fuhrich by Jamie Leweling on 69 minute.
  • 71' The referee calls foul for Marcel Sabitzer. He receives a card.
  • 72' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 72 minute. Maximilian Beier leaves to be changed by Julian Brandt.
  • 77' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Karim Adeyemi. He receives a card.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 88' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Maximilian Mittelstadt is replaced by Ermedin Demirovic.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Julian Ryerson. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for Borussia Dortmund.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart35% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund38%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
61%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
65%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart26% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
20%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.