Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Borussia Dortmund
3 – 2
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
Borussia Dortmund 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Mar 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV
#1 Position #16
12 Points 3
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
9 Scored 2
2 Conceded 13
+7 GD -11
3.00 PPG 0.75
100% Win % 25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sehrou Guirassy 1
Ioannis Konstantelias 1

Head to Head

2026-03-21 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-03-21 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-03-14 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-03-07 1. FC Köln 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2026-02-25 Atalanta BC 4–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-21 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV L 2026-03-14 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.3 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Borussia Dortmund to win 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund75% Draw15% Hamburger SV10%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
89%
Draw or Hamburger SV
25%
Borussia Dortmund or Hamburger SV
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund63% Draw29% Hamburger SV8%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
7.3%
4 – 1
6.5%
1 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
5.1%
5 – 0
4.8%
5 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 44% — 56%
-2 44% 20% 36%
-1.5 64% — 36%
-1 64% 17% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.