Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Borussia Dortmund
3 – 2
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
Borussia Dortmund 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV
#2 Position #13
73 Points 38
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
70 Scored 40
34 Conceded 54
+36 GD -14
2.15 PPG 1.12
65% Win % 26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Borussia Dortmund is hosting Hamburger SV for another epic battle.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund60% Draw21% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
81%
Draw or Hamburger SV
40%
Borussia Dortmund or Hamburger SV
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund44% Draw39% Hamburger SV17%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 21% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.