Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

3 – 2

Full Time

Hamburger SV

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Hamburger SV

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Hamburger SV	H	3–2	W
14 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
07 Mar	1. FC Köln	A	2–1	W
28 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
25 Feb	Atalanta BC	A	1–4	L
21 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–3	L
14 Mar	1. FC Köln	H	1–1	D
07 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
04 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
01 Mar	RB Leipzig	H	1–2	L
20 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		Hamburger SV
#8	Position	#19
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Borussia Dortmund to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for Borussia Dortmund.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.09 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.84 Hamburger SV xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund45% Draw31% Hamburger SV24%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 1.93

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	58%	42%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

76%

Draw or Hamburger SV

55%

Borussia Dortmund or Hamburger SV

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund26% Draw56% Hamburger SV18%

Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

17.1%

1 – 0

14.5%

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 1

10.8%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.4%

0 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

3.1%

3 – 0

2.9%

3 – 1

2.6%

1 – 3

1.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	Hamburger SV covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	23%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.