Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .
- Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
5 games this season
🟨 5.6/game
⚽ 26.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | Hamburger SV | H | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | FC Augsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #11 |
| 21 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 16 | Scored | 10 |
| 7 | Conceded | 20 |
| +9 | GD | -10 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts). Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 4 G | |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabio Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Hamburger SV
| Miro Muheim | 3 G | 1 A |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV get this one started.
- It finishes all square. Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 |
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.4
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Borussia Dortmund to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
84%
Draw or Hamburger SV
37%
Borussia Dortmund or Hamburger SV
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hamburger SV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund
| Handicap | Borussia Dortmund covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 19% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 21% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.