Thursday , 5 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2026-27
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Brandt 32' 1–0
1–1 45+1' Lennard Hartjes
1–2 62' Aymen Sliti

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee J. van der Laan
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)
6 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D
15 Sep Willem II Tilburg H 5–1 W
12 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 5–1 W
05 Sep PSV H 1–3 L
30 Aug Telstar 1963 A 4–0 W
16 Aug SC Heerenveen H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
13 Sep FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
08 Sep NEC A 2–2 D
05 Sep Willem II Tilburg A 3–0 W
29 Aug Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
15 Aug PSV H 1–2 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SBV Excelsior
#2 Position #15
24 Points 11
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 6
30 Scored 16
13 Conceded 28
+17 GD -12
2.18 PPG 1.00
64% Win % 27%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
18% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

AFC Ajax are 2nd (24 pts). SBV Excelsior are 15th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/–
31-45
6/6
46-60
1/4
61-75
3/5
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Toluwalas Arokodare 6 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
SBV Excelsior
Irakli Yegoian 3 G 5 A
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' SBV Excelsior have won 172 goals from 146 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kasper Dolberg made 489 appearances and scored 82 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 23' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Caio Henrique by Owen Wijndal on 23 minute.
  • 28' The 23-year-old Youri Baas has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 32' Julian Brandt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
  • 35' Jan Plug has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' With 1 assists to his name this season, Thilo Kehrer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
  • 45' Jan Plug needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' A stunning finish from Lennard Hartjes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' SBV Excelsior seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Oliver Edvardsen is replacing Viktor Tsyhankov for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 62' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Kasper Dolberg is withdrawn and Toluwalas Arokodare gets his opportunity.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Aymen Sliti — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' Toluwalas Arokodare doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 65' The whistle greets Eric da Silva Moreira as he departs to be replaced by Kasey Bos.
  • 70' Ilano Silva Timas, a Cape Verde Islands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' Ilano Silva Timas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Agust THorsteinsson on 71 minute.
  • 76' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 76 minute. Jorthy Mokio leaves to be changed by Sofyan Amrabat.
  • 77' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Abdellah Ouazane on, Davy Klaassen off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' SBV Excelsior has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 85' SBV Excelsior ring the changes. David Garden has done his job and it is now time for Mario Dominguez to step up.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Oscar Gloukh argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben den Uil will be considering his options from the bench.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.11 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax61% Draw19% SBV Excelsior20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
80%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
39%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax52% Draw32% SBV Excelsior16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.6%
5 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 31% — 69%
-2 31% 18% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 18% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 9% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 4% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.