AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 11 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee J. van der Laan
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)
6 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 13.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 11 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 11 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Willem II Tilburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | FC Utrecht | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Sep | NEC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Sep | Willem II Tilburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | PSV | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #15 |
| 24 | Points | 11 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 6 |
| 30 | Scored | 16 |
| 13 | Conceded | 28 |
| +17 | GD | -12 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
AFC Ajax are 2nd (24 pts). SBV Excelsior are 15th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/–
31-45
6/6
46-60
1/4
61-75
3/5
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 6 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
SBV Excelsior
| Irakli Yegoian | 3 G | 5 A |
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' SBV Excelsior have won 172 goals from 146 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kasper Dolberg made 489 appearances and scored 82 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 23' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Caio Henrique by Owen Wijndal on 23 minute.
- 28' The 23-year-old Youri Baas has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 32' Julian Brandt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 35' Jan Plug has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
- 40' With 1 assists to his name this season, Thilo Kehrer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
- 45' Jan Plug needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 46' A stunning finish from Lennard Hartjes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' SBV Excelsior seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' Oliver Edvardsen is replacing Viktor Tsyhankov for the AFC Ajax side.
- 62' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Kasper Dolberg is withdrawn and Toluwalas Arokodare gets his opportunity.
- 62' A stunning finish from Aymen Sliti — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 64' Toluwalas Arokodare doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 65' The whistle greets Eric da Silva Moreira as he departs to be replaced by Kasey Bos.
- 70' Ilano Silva Timas, a Cape Verde Islands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 71' Ilano Silva Timas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Agust THorsteinsson on 71 minute.
- 76' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 76 minute. Jorthy Mokio leaves to be changed by Sofyan Amrabat.
- 77' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Abdellah Ouazane on, Davy Klaassen off on 77 minutes.
- 82' SBV Excelsior has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 85' SBV Excelsior ring the changes. David Garden has done his job and it is now time for Mario Dominguez to step up.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Oscar Gloukh argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben den Uil will be considering his options from the bench.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
-
12
Caio Henrique ↓ Owen Wijndal 23'
- 9
- 6
- 8
- 1
- 11
- 15
- 10
- 3
-
24
Jorthy Mokio ↓ Sofyan Amrabat 76'
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 23'
-
4
Sofyan Amrabat ↑ 76'
- 26
- 38
-
99
Toluwalas Arokodare ↑ 62'
- 51
-
20
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 61'
- 2
- 36
- 43
-
68
Abdellah Ouazane ↑ 77'
- 21
Coach
Michel
SBV Excelsior Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 15
- 1
- 20
- 3
- 8
- 4
-
19
David Garden ↓ Mario Dominguez 85'
- 2
- 14
- 7
- 30
Bench
-
11
Alireza Jahanbakhsh ↑ 71'
- 16
-
9
Mario Dominguez ↑ 85'
-
12
Kasey Bos ↑ 65'
- 28
- 24
- 18
- 6
-
21
Ilano Silva Timas ↑ 71'
- 22
Coach
Ruben den Uil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 2 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.11
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
80%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
39%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.6%
5 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 18% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 18% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 4% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

