Saturday , 15 August 2026

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
FC Tokyo
3 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 89' Kensuke Nagai
Kei Koizumi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

10
7
7
FC Tokyo 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tokyo 2023-06-24 FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
22 Feb FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
15 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
08 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
30 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–3 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L
08 Dec Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–0 W
30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
09 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus
#12 Position #3
37 Points 31
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
55 Scored 46
42 Conceded 44
+13 GD +2
2.06 PPG 1.72
72% Win % 56%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosuke Shirai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 31' Assisted by Kein Sato with the perfectly-timed delivery and Keita Yamashita makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 36' Daiki Miya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' Yuya Asano gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Teruki Hara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 46' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Yuya Asano, a Japan , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kein Sato makes it 2-0.
  • 61' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Marcelo Ryan comes on to replace Keita Yamashita.
  • 64' Brilliant from the ! Keiya Shiihashi makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 64.
  • 69' Japan international Shuhei Tokumoto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' It looks surprising FC Tokyo does not make any changes. Everton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' Kensuke Nagai is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 84' Tsukasa Morishima gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Mateus and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kensuke Nagai.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Kei Koizumi on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
  • 90' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 90 minute. Kein Sato leaves to be changed by Teruhito Nakagawa.
  • Full Time. FC Tokyo beats Nagoya Grampus

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Oliveira 6
Kensuke Nagai 3
Kasper Junker 3
Diego Oliveira 2
Kensuke Nagai 2
Adailton 1
Sho Inagaki 1
Willian Rocha 1

Head to Head

2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tokyo 2023-06-24 FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo Form

2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-02-22 FC Tokyo 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-15 Yokohama FC 0–1 FC Tokyo W 2024-12-08 FC Tokyo 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-11-30 Jubilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tokyo L 2024-11-09 FC Machida Zelvia 3–0 FC Tokyo L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-12-08 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-11-09 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.02 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo61% Draw19% Nagoya Grampus20%
Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
79%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
39%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo48% Draw32% Nagoya Grampus20%
Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.2%
4 – 1
5%
4 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 17% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 18% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.