FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Kashima Antlers 18 45 2 FC Tokyo 18 37 3 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 4 Vissel Kobe 18 35 5 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 6 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 8 Gamba Osaka 18 28 9 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 10 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 11 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 12 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 13 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 14 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 15 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 16 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 26 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W 22 Feb FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L 15 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W 08 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W 30 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 1–2 L 09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–3 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 26 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–3 L 22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D 15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L 08 Dec Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–0 W 30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L 09 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–0 D Season Stats
FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus #2 Position #6 37 Points 31 18 Played 18 13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8 55 Scored 46 42 Conceded 44 +13 GD +2 2.06 PPG 1.72 72% Win % 56% Key Stats
54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history22% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this seasonFC Tokyo are 2nd (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 6th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo0-15–/116-30–/231-458/–46-602/–61-754/476+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededNagoya Grampus0-152/116-302/431-455/446-604/361-753/176+4/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
- 5' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuya Yamagishi made 180 appearances and scored 35 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Everton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sho Inagaki, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 31' GOAL! Keita Yamashita scores on 31. Assisted by Kein Sato
- 36' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Asano. He replaces Teruki Hara on 41 minute.
- 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 416 games and scored 377 goals.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 59' What an equalizer from Kein Sato!
- 61' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 61 minute. Keita Yamashita leaves to be changed by Marcelo Ryan.
- 64' GOAL! Keiya Shiihashi scores on 64. Assisted by Yuya Yamagishi
- 69' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Kensuke Nagai on 75 minute.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gen Kato suffering a number of foals already.
- 84' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Mateus is replaced by Tsukasa Morishima on 84 minute.
- 89' Kensuke Nagai was booked on 89.
- 90' FC Tokyo receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Kein Sato by Teruhito Nakagawa on 90 minute.
- With this win, FC Tokyo is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 44
- 14
- 98
- 32
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 5
- 3
- 39
- 4
- 13
- 19
- 33
- 28
Coach Rikizo MatsuhashiNagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
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8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Gen Kato 75'
- 17
- 15
- 4
- 16
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7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kensuke Nagai 75'
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10
Mateus ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 84'
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70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yuya Asano 41'
- 11
- 55
- 20
Bench
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18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 75'
- 66
- 2
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14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 84'
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9
Yuya Asano ↑ 41'
- 27
- 3
- 35
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26
Gen Kato ↑ 75'
Coach Kenta Hasegawa -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Diego Oliveira 6 Kensuke Nagai 3 Kasper Junker 3 Kensuke Nagai 2 Diego Oliveira 2 Ryotaro Araki 1 Yota Sato 1 Naoki Maeda 1 Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 43.02 FC Tokyo xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.76 Nagoya Grampus xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 4.78Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 98% 2% ± 1.5 95% 5% ± 2.5 84% 16% ± 3.5 69% 31% ± 4.5 51% 49% Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw 79%Draw or Nagoya Grampus 39%FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus 81%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 1 6.7%3 – 1 Actual2 – 2 5.8%3 – 2 5.7%1 – 1 5.2%4 – 1 5%4 – 2 4.3%2 – 0 4.1%1 – 2 4%3 – 0 3.9%2 – 3 3.4%3 – 3 3.4%Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers -2.5 26% — 74% -2 26% 17% 57% -1.5 43% — 57% -1 43% 18% 38% -0.5 62% — 38% +0.5 79% — 21% +1 79% 11% 10% +1.5 90% — 10% +2 90% 6% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet 6% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.