Wednesday , 4 November 2026

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kota Tawaratsumida 56' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
12 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–0 W
06 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
02 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
29 Aug V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W
21 Aug JEF United Ichihara Chiba H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep FC Tokyo A 0–1 L
12 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–2 L
06 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 1–3 L
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L
29 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
22 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus
#12 Position #3
37 Points 31
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
55 Scored 46
42 Conceded 44
+13 GD +2
2.06 PPG 1.72
72% Win % 56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
83% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
7/1
61-75
10/–
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 7 G 3 A
Marcelo Ryan 5 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa 4 G 2 A
Dani Gomez 4 G
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Katsuhiro Nakayama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 7' A moment of madness from Takahiro Ko on 7 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
  • 12' FC Tokyo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuya Uchida made 446 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 22' Takahiro Ko, a Japan , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 27' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 52' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' The Japan Kota Tawaratsumida breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 1-0!
  • 58' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Kota Tawaratsumida is replaced by Motoki Nagakura.
  • 61' Mateus is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuya Yamagishi at the 61 minute mark.
  • 61' Kein Sato is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Tokyo winning 100% of all matches.
  • 68' Takahiro Ko has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
  • 70' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kento Hashimoto is hanging Marcelo Ryan on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' The whistle greets Takuya Uchida as he departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
  • 77' FC Tokyo make a change. Kein Sato trudges off to be replaced by Hirokazu Ishihara on 77 minutes.
  • 79' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Yudai Kimura exits the field as Tomoya Koyamatsu enters on 79.
  • 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Kento Hashimoto on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.92 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo65% Draw18% Nagoya Grampus17%
Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
83%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
35%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo49% Draw33% Nagoya Grampus18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 18% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 19% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
22% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.