Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Thu 23 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC MHPArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs SC FreiburgDFB-Pokal at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
19 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–4 L
12 Apr Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
16 Apr RC Celta de Vigo A 3–1 W
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SC Freiburg gets underway.
  • 5' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SC Freiburg winning 50% of all matches.
  • 13' The referee calls foul for Jordy Makengo. He receives a card.
  • 15' It’s gonna be a card for Nikolas Nartey.
  • 17' The referee calls foul for Johan Manzambi. He receives a card.
  • 22' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' Derry Scherhant needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' SC Freiburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Maximilian Eggestein on 28.
  • 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 48' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' That looks like a foul for a card for Vincenzo Grifo.
  • 61' SC Freiburg is showing some good football. However, SC Freiburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 63' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Nikolas Nartey is replaced by Bilal El Khannouss.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' What a strike from Deniz Undav! The score is 1-1.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Derry Scherhant. He replaces Vincenzo Grifo on 71 minute.
  • 74' SC Freiburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' Supporters expect more eagerness from Angelo Stiller, as he is very good at scoring at MHPArena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Holer. He replaces Igor Matanovic on 84 minute.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart45% Draw27% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
55%
VfB Stuttgart or SC Freiburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart31% Draw46% SC Freiburg23%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
30%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.