Sunday , 26 July 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
8 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Arsenal FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
21 Feb Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Feb Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
11 Feb Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
08 Feb Crystal Palace FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
22 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC A 4–1 W
18 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
15 Feb Wigan Athletic FC H 4–0 W
12 Feb Brentford FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Arsenal FC
#11 Position #4
53 Points 85
38 Played 38
14 / 11 / 13 W / D / L 26 / 7 / 5
52 Scored 71
46 Conceded 27
+6 GD +44
1.39 PPG 2.24
37% Win % 68%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 11th (53 pts). Arsenal FC are 4th (85 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC20% Draw27% Arsenal FC53%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Arsenal FC
80%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Arsenal FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC14% Draw49% Arsenal FC37%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 2
11.4%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
2.7%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 25% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.