Wednesday , 4 November 2026

Palermo FC vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC Renzo Barbera HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Padova Calcio — Serie B at Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1 Khaled Bahri (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Padova Calcio H 2–1 W
13 Sep Calcio Avellino SSD A 1–1 D
07 Sep UC Sampdoria H 3–1 W
30 Aug SS Arezzo A 3–2 W
23 Aug SS Juve Stabia H 1–0 W
08 May Venezia FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Palermo FC A 1–2 L
12 Sep Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC H 1–0 W
06 Sep US Cremonese A 1–3 L
29 Aug Hellas Verona FC H 1–1 D
23 Aug AC Pisa 1909 A 1–0 W
08 May AC Cesena A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Palermo FC Padova Calcio
#1 Position #9
26 Points 14
10 Played 10
8 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 4
24 Scored 10
12 Conceded 11
+12 GD -1
2.60 PPG 1.40
80% Win % 40%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Palermo FC are 1st (26 pts). Padova Calcio are 9th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 7 G 5 A
Dominic Vavassori 6 G 1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo 2 G 3 A
Antonio Palumbo 2 G 1 A
Tommaso Augello 1 G 1 A
Padova Calcio
Pietro Fusi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Padova Calcio kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 9' What a moment for Christian Pastina! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 14' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' Padova Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 19.
  • 24' Palermo FC is showing some good football. However, Palermo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' Padova Calcio come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 42' A moment of madness from Niccolo Pierozzi on 42 minutes earns him a card. Palermo FC will be frustrated.
  • 44' What a moment for Dominic Vavassori! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Tommaso Cassandro is replacing Niccolo Pierozzi for the Palermo FC side.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Palermo FC and Padova Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' The crowd applauds Alessandro Seghetti as he leaves the pitch. Francesco Di Mariano steps in for Padova Calcio.
  • 58' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nicola Antonio Calabro will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' Padova Calcio receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 66' A moment of madness from Filippo Ranocchia on 66 minutes earns him a card. Palermo FC will be frustrated.
  • 69' The Padova Calcio bench stirs into life. Matteo Cocchi is withdrawn and Lorenzo Carissoni gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Nahuel Estevez. He replaces Filippo Ranocchia on 72 minute.
  • 76' Claudio Gomes gets the nod from Palermo FC. He replaces Jacopo Segre and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Alessandro Capelli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 82' Alessandro Gabrielloni is replacing Joel Pohjanpalo for the Palermo FC side.
  • 83' Dominic Vavassori is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the forward.
  • 84' Nicolas Galazzi is replacing Giovanni Giunti for the Padova Calcio side.
  • 89' Padova Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Lorenzo Carissoni. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Palermo FC take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC63% Draw22% Padova Calcio15%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Padova Calcio
37%
Palermo FC or Padova Calcio
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC46% Draw42% Padova Calcio12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.4%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.