Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 9 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Donyell Malen 16' 1–0
Donyell Malen 45+7' 2–0
Niclas Fullkrug 87' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
20 Jan 1. FC Koln A 4–0 W
13 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–0 W
19 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
03 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
27 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
20 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
13 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
20 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg
#2 Position #7
73 Points 47
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
70 Scored 51
34 Conceded 57
+36 GD -6
2.15 PPG 1.38
65% Win % 38%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.92 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund76% Draw15% SC Freiburg9%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
91%
Draw or SC Freiburg
24%
Borussia Dortmund or SC Freiburg
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund59% Draw33% SC Freiburg8%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
4 – 1
5.8%
5 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
5 – 1
3.4%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 38% 62%
-2 38% 21% 41%
-1.5 59% 41%
-1 59% 19% 22%
-0.5 78% 22%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
43%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.