1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- SC Freiburg 9 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | KRC Genk | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 10 | Points | 19 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 2 |
| 18 | Scored | 20 |
| 19 | Conceded | 10 |
| -1 | GD | +10 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.11 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
33%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
SC Freiburg
| Yuito Suzuki | 5 G | |
| Igor Matanovic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 3 G | |
| Derry Scherhant | 2 G | 3 A |
| Yannik Engelhardt | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 423 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Philipp Mwene has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 33' Poor challenge from Ifechukwu Ogbus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' SC Freiburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' Maximilian Eggestein has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Julian Schuster picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Philipp Lienhart on, Ifechukwu Ogbus off on 46 minutes.
- 47' What composure from Lucas Holer! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 52' Sheraldo Becker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
- 55' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nikolas Veratschnig gets a card.
- 60' Matthias Ginter has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Sota Kawasaki has done his job and it is now time for Nadiem Amiri to step up.
- 64' SC Freiburg make a change. Cyriaque Irie trudges off to be replaced by Jan-Niklas Beste on 64 minutes.
- 69' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Holer on 73.
- 74' Armindo Sieb is replacing Paul Nebel for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Jordy Makengo. He replaces Matthias Ginter on 83 minute.
- 88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against SC Freiburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- Full Time. SC Freiburg beats 1. FSV Mainz 05
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 23
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Anthony Caci 74'
- 4
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Nelson Weiper 83'
- 33
- 20
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
-
24
Sota Kawasaki ↓ Nadiem Amiri 62'
- 22
- 6
Bench
-
19
Anthony Caci ↑ 74'
-
10
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 62'
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 62'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 74'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 83'
- 14
- 48
Coach
Urs Fischer
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 30
-
17
Lukas Kubler ↓ Philipp Treu 64'
- 9
-
28
Matthias Ginter ↓ Jordy Makengo 83'
- 31
- 1
- 7
- 44
- 43
- 22
Bench
-
19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 64'
- 26
- 21
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↑ 74'
-
3
Philipp Lienhart ↑ 46'
- 27
- 14
-
33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 83'
-
29
Philipp Treu ↑ 64'
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Robin Quaison | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-12
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2026-03-15
SV Werder Bremen
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
VfB Stuttgart
D
2026-02-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.1
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or SC Freiburg
76%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 22% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 18% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

