Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 47' Lucas Holer

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
22 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
19 Mar KRC Genk H 5–1 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#12 Position #3
10 Points 19
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 2
18 Scored 20
19 Conceded 10
-1 GD +10
1.11 PPG 2.11
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 423 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Philipp Mwene has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Poor challenge from Ifechukwu Ogbus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 43' SC Freiburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' Maximilian Eggestein has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' Julian Schuster picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Philipp Lienhart on, Ifechukwu Ogbus off on 46 minutes.
  • 47' What composure from Lucas Holer! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 52' Sheraldo Becker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
  • 55' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nikolas Veratschnig gets a card.
  • 60' Matthias Ginter has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Sota Kawasaki has done his job and it is now time for Nadiem Amiri to step up.
  • 64' SC Freiburg make a change. Cyriaque Irie trudges off to be replaced by Jan-Niklas Beste on 64 minutes.
  • 69' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Holer on 73.
  • 74' Armindo Sieb is replacing Paul Nebel for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Jordy Makengo. He replaces Matthias Ginter on 83 minute.
  • 88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against SC Freiburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • Full Time. SC Freiburg beats 1. FSV Mainz 05

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.1 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw25% SC Freiburg51%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or SC Freiburg
76%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw42% SC Freiburg41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.