1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | KRC Genk | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #7 |
| 40 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 51 |
| 53 | Conceded | 57 |
| -9 | GD | -6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 29% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, SC Freiburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Jordy Makengo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
- 30' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Vincenzo Grifo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' SC Freiburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 38' Ifechukwu Ogbus needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' SC Freiburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' SC Freiburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Philipp Lienhart is replacing Ifechukwu Ogbus for the SC Freiburg side.
- 47' Goal! Lucas Holer scores his 50 goal in 493 matches.
- 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 55' It’s gonna be a card for Nikolas Veratschnig.
- 60' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 62' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Sota Kawasaki is replaced by Nadiem Amiri on 62 minute.
- 64' Another change for SC Freiburg made on 64 minute. Cyriaque Irie leaves to be changed by Jan-Niklas Beste.
- 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Igor Matanovic made 273 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Lucas Holer. He receives a card.
- 74' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 74 minute. Paul Nebel leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
- 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SC Freiburg winning 100% of all matches.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Jordy Makengo. He replaces Matthias Ginter on 83 minute.
- 88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maximilian Eggestein, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 23
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Anthony Caci 74'
- 4
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Nelson Weiper 83'
- 33
- 20
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
-
24
Sota Kawasaki ↓ Nadiem Amiri 62'
- 22
- 6
Bench
-
19
Anthony Caci ↑ 74'
-
10
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 62'
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 62'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 74'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 83'
- 14
- 48
Coach
Urs Fischer
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 30
-
17
Lukas Kubler ↓ Philipp Treu 64'
- 9
-
28
Matthias Ginter ↓ Jordy Makengo 83'
- 31
- 1
- 7
- 44
- 43
- 22
Bench
-
19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 64'
- 26
- 21
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↑ 74'
-
3
Philipp Lienhart ↑ 46'
- 27
- 14
-
33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 83'
-
29
Philipp Treu ↑ 64'
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Schmid | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-12
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2026-03-15
SV Werder Bremen
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
VfB Stuttgart
D
2026-02-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
60%
Draw or SC Freiburg
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.