Sunday , 16 August 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 29 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium 11,200 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Shuto Nakano
0–2 10' Shunki Higashi
Shosei Usui 19' 1–2
Tomoya Miki 72' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jumpei Iida
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
  • Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Apr Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W
19 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–2 D
11 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–0 W
05 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
25 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 2–0 W
11 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 6–5 W
05 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
27 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#10 Position #4
21 Points 30
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 41
59 Conceded 33
-10 GD +8
1.17 PPG 1.67
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka39% Draw22% Sanfrecce Hiroshima39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka29% Draw35% Sanfrecce Hiroshima36%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 15% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 17% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 13% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.