Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 13 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 13 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Alan Cresswell (England)
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough FC | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton FC | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham City FC | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 13 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham United FC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 13 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City FC | 13 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich City FC | 13 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 13 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff City FC | 13 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 13 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton Athletic FC | 13 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford FC | 13 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Derby County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Sep | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | Wrexham AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Birmingham City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Norwich City FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Birmingham City FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 23 | Points | 28 |
| 13 | Played | 13 |
| 6 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 8 / 4 / 1 |
| 23 | Scored | 30 |
| 13 | Conceded | 17 |
| +10 | GD | +13 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 46% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Birmingham City FC are 6th (23 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 1st (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/3
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
| August Priske | 6 G | 1 A |
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Birmingham City FC and Middlesbrough FC get this one started.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Birmingham City FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Birmingham City FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Ashley Phillips needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luis Vazquez.
- 29' Nigeria international Bright Osayi-Samuel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' Adilson Malanda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
- 39' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Birmingham City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' Max Arfsten makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
- 50' Birmingham City FC have won 433 goals from 394 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 55' GOAL! Liam Millar scores on 55.
- 59' Goal! Riley McGree scores his 37 goal in 209 matches.
- 63' The crowd applauds Myles Peart-Harris as he leaves the pitch. Tommy Conway steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 68' Tomoki Iwata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 71' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Luis Vazquez exits the field as Marvin Ducksch enters on 71.
- 75' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Jeremy Sarmiento comes on to replace Amario Cozier-Duberry.
- 80' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 83' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Jay Stansfield is replaced by Seung-Ho Paik.
- 86' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Ashley Phillips by Kyle Joseph on 86 minute.
- 88' The Scotland forward Kyle Joseph breaks the deadlock on 88 minutes. 1-3!
- 89' The referee calls foul for Phil Neumann. He receives a card.
- 90' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Carlos Vicente has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Roberts to step up.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 26
- 5
- 17
- 24
- 20
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 83'
- 4
-
32
Luis Vazquez ↓ Marvin Ducksch 71'
- 1
- 14
- 7
Bench
- 23
- 21
-
33
Marvin Ducksch ↑ 71'
-
16
Patrick Roberts ↑ 90'
- 3
- 2
-
8
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 83'
- 25
- 40
Coach
Chris Davies
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2
- 12
- 8
- 10
- 29
- 14
-
4
Ashley Phillips ↓ Kyle Joseph 86'
- 1
-
17
Max Arfsten ↓ Neto Borges 86'
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 3
- 13
-
30
Neto Borges ↑ 86'
- 31
-
6
Sebastian Berhalter ↑ 63'
-
22
Kyle Joseph ↑ 86'
-
9
Tommy Conway ↑ 63'
-
16
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 75'
- 21
Coach
Kim Hellberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Britt Assombalonga | 3 |
| Scott Hogan | 2 |
| Lewis Wing | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Matty Crooks | 2 |
| Maxime Colin | 1 |
| Liam Millar | 1 |
| George Saville | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2026-09-19
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-09-12
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2026-09-09
Norwich City FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-06
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
D
2026-09-01
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Southampton FC
D
2026-08-28
Wrexham AFC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-09-19
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-09-15
Middlesbrough FC
2–2
Millwall FC
D
2026-09-12
Middlesbrough FC
4–3
Norwich City FC
W
2026-09-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2026-09-02
Burnley FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-08-29
Middlesbrough FC
3–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Birmingham City FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Birmingham City FC or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

