Tuesday , 3 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Max Arfsten
Liam Millar 55' 1–1
Riley McGree og 59' 2–1
2–2 88' Adilson Malanda

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Alan Cresswell (England)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 2–2 D
12 Sep Derby County FC A 2–1 W
09 Sep Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
06 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
01 Sep Southampton FC H 1–1 D
28 Aug Wrexham AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
15 Sep Millwall FC H 2–2 D
12 Sep Norwich City FC H 4–3 W
05 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–0 W
02 Sep Burnley FC A 1–1 D
29 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC Middlesbrough FC
#6 Position #1
23 Points 28
13 Played 13
6 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 8 / 4 / 1
23 Scored 30
13 Conceded 17
+10 GD +13
1.77 PPG 2.15
46% Win % 62%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 6th (23 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 1st (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/3
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC35% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Birmingham City FC or Middlesbrough FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC27% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC30%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.