Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–0 W
06 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–2 L
03 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–0 W
30 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
27 Nov FC Viktoria Plzen A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
10 Dec FK Bodø/Glimt H 2–2 D
07 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
02 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
29 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
25 Nov Villarreal CF H 4–0 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Borussia Dortmund
#7 Position #2
47 Points 73
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
51 Scored 70
57 Conceded 34
-6 GD +36
1.38 PPG 2.15
38% Win % 65%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SC Freiburg kicks off things out of here…
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg26% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
52%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
SC Freiburg or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg18% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
15%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.