Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Robert Andrich

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
04 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 6–3 W
21 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–3 D
17 Mar Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
11 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#2 Position #6
73 Points 59
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
70 Scored 68
34 Conceded 47
+36 GD +21
2.15 PPG 1.74
65% Win % 50%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.82 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund44% Draw26% Bayer 04 Leverkusen30%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
71%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
56%
Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund35% Draw43% Bayer 04 Leverkusen22%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
27%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.