Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Robert Andrich

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
04 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 6–3 W
21 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–3 D
17 Mar Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
11 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#1 Position #5
12 Points 7
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
9 Scored 10
2 Conceded 5
+7 GD +5
3.00 PPG 1.75
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.66 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund46% Draw28% Bayer 04 Leverkusen26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
74%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
54%
Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund35% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen19%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.