Burnley FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 13 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Callum Gough (England)
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 10.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough FC | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton FC | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham City FC | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 13 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham United FC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 13 | 18 |
| 13 | Portsmouth FC | 12 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City FC | 13 | 18 |
| 16 | Norwich City FC | 13 | 15 |
| 17 | Lincoln City FC | 13 | 15 |
| 18 | Cardiff City FC | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 13 | 14 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 13 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic FC | 13 | 14 |
| 22 | Watford FC | 13 | 11 |
| 23 | Burnley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Derby County FC | 13 | 7 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Sep | Wrexham AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Sep | Bristol City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Sep | West Ham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #24 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 13 | Played | 13 |
| 1 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 8 |
| 17 | Scored | 11 |
| 25 | Conceded | 25 |
| -8 | GD | -14 |
| 0.69 | PPG | 0.54 |
| 8% | Win % | 8% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
8%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Burnley FC are 23rd (9 pts). Derby County FC are 24th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
5/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/5
61-75
–/6
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Burnley FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Turf Moor.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zeki Amdouni, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 34' Zeki Amdouni puts Burnley FC on the lead.
- 39' Lucas Pires is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 396 games and scored 461 goals.
- 49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 54' Derby County FC come into this ranked 22 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' It’s gonna be a card for Anel Ahmedhodzic.
- 61' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Largie Ramazani is hanging Marcus Edwards on the field on 61 minute.
- 66' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Mowatt departs to be replaced by Oscar Fraulo.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for David Ozoh.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Laurent on 68.
- 73' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Jamie Vardy on 73 minute.
- 78' Rhian Brewster is replacing David Ozoh for the Derby County FC side.
- 82' Charlie Taylor makes way for Corey Blackett-Taylor at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 86' That is a card for Burnley FC. Ugo Raghouber will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Corey Blackett-Taylor.
- 89' Burnley FC make a change. Lucas Pires trudges off to be replaced by Oliver Sonne on 89 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 14
- 15
- 37
- 7
- 44
-
5
Reo Hatate ↓ Ugo Raghouber 61'
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Oliver Sonne 89'
-
11
Zeki Amdouni ↓ Jamie Vardy 73'
- 29
- 3
Bench
-
9
Jamie Vardy ↑ 73'
- 2
-
19
Largie Ramazani ↑ 61'
-
17
Andreas Hountondji ↑ 73'
- 27
-
8
Ugo Raghouber ↑ 61'
- 1
-
22
Oliver Sonne ↑ 89'
- 18
Coach
Nicky Hayen
Derby County FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
-
26
Ryan Hedges ↓ Mohammed Fuseini 66'
-
20
Alex Mowatt ↓ Oscar Fraulo 66'
- 23
- 9
- 11
- 31
- 28
- 8
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Rhian Brewster 78'
- 6
Bench
-
33
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 82'
- 12
- 27
- 15
-
10
Rhian Brewster ↑ 78'
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↑ 66'
-
16
Mohammed Fuseini ↑ 66'
- 22
- 42
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mohammed Fuseini | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2026-09-19
Burnley FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2026-09-12
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-09
Derby County FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
2026-09-05
West Ham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-09-01
Portsmouth FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2026-08-29
Derby County FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Burnley FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.