Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Falkirk FC A 1–5 L
21 Feb Dundee United FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb Celtic FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb St. Mirren FC H 4–3 W
04 Feb Rangers FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
28 Feb Aberdeen FC H 1–0 W
21 Feb Falkirk FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Rangers FC A 2–4 L
10 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #4
0 Points 3
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
9 Conceded 2
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 1.50
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.61 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.49 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 92% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC20% Draw15% Heart of Midlothian FC65%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 6.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 92%
8%
± 3.5 83%
17%
± 4.5 68%
32%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
35%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC11% Draw23% Heart of Midlothian FC66%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 4
6.5%
1 – 3
5.9%
1 – 5
5.7%
2 – 4
5.1%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 5
4.6%
1 – 6
4.3%
0 – 4
4.2%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
0 – 5
3.7%
2 – 6
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 5% 91%
-0.5 9% 91%
+0.5 19% 81%
+1 19% 14% 67%
+1.5 33% 67%
+2 33% 17% 50%
+2.5 50% 50%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.