Monday , 2 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 16:45 UTC Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Jamie McCart 16' 1–0
1–1 86' Stephen Kingsley

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Manuela Nicolosi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–1 D
15 Sep Hibernian FC A 1–0 W
05 Sep Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
02 Sep St. Mirren FC H 0–1 L
29 Aug Dundee United FC H 0–4 L
09 Aug Celtic FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Falkirk FC A 1–2 L
06 Sep Dundee FC H 2–1 W
03 Sep Hibernian FC A 3–1 W
29 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
09 Aug Dundee United FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#11 Position #3
9 Points 20
12 Played 11
2 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 3
13 Scored 24
28 Conceded 17
-15 GD +7
0.75 PPG 1.82
17% Win % 55%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/3
16-30
3/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/3
61-75
2/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 5 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 5 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Laurent Mendy 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC20% Draw22% Heart of Midlothian FC58%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
42%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC14% Draw36% Heart of Midlothian FC50%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 32% — 68%
+1 32% 21% 47%
+1.5 53% — 47%
+2 53% 20% 28%
+2.5 72% — 28%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.