Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 15:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 4–0 W
18 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
11 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
04 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
21 Mar Hamburger SV H 3–2 W
14 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
16 Apr RC Celta de Vigo A 3–1 W
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg
#8 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.36 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 76% + Under 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund60% Draw28% SC Freiburg12%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
88%
Draw or SC Freiburg
40%
Borussia Dortmund or SC Freiburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund38% Draw56% SC Freiburg6%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
23.5%
0 – 0
20.2%
2 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
1.5%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 1
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 19% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 30% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
70%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.