Sunday , 16 August 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2024-25
SK Sturm Graz
1 – 0
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Merkur Arena 26,851 HT 45' · FT 45'
Arjan Malic 43' 1–0
Y 41' Amadou Haidara
Dimitri Lavalee 51' Y
Seedy Jatta 63' Y
Jurgen Saumel 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig — Champions League at Merkur Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Mikola Balakin (Ukraine)
  • Assistant 1 Oleksandr Berkut (Ukraine)
  • Assistant 2 Viktor Matyash (Ukraine)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodo/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC Kobenhavn 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
SK Sturm Graz 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-29 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

SK Sturm Graz
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
21 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
15 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
12 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 4–2 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Merkur Arena. SK Sturm Graz are looking to make home advantage count against RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dimitri Lavalee suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Lutsharel Geertruida, a Netherlands defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Niklas Geyrhofer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' The 26-year-old Christoph Baumgartner has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Amadou Haidara will be fuming at that decision.
  • 43' GOAL! Arjan Malic scores on 43. Assisted by Tochi Chukwuani
  • 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' That is a card for SK Sturm Graz. Dimitri Lavalee will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Seedy Jatta made 142 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' The referee calls foul for Seedy Jatta. He receives a card.
  • 65' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Christoph Baumgartner has done his job and it is now time for David Raum to step up.
  • 70' Otar Kiteishvili has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Castello Lukeba is hanging El Chadaille Bitshiabu on the field on 71 minute.
  • 74' A tactical swap from SK Sturm Graz — Amady Camara on, Seedy Jatta off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Arthur Vermeeren is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 84' Lukas Klostermann is replacing Lutsharel Geertruida for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 86' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Jon Stankovic has done his job and it is now time for Stefan Hierlander to step up.
  • 90' The crowd applauds William Boving as he leaves the pitch. Lovro Zvonarek steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SK Sturm Graz to claim maximum points.

Lineups

SK Sturm Graz Lineups

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jurgen Saumel

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz48% Draw30% RB Leipzig22%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
78%
Draw or RB Leipzig
52%
SK Sturm Graz or RB Leipzig
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz31% Draw53% RB Leipzig16%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.