Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC H 3–1 W
14 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–3 L
06 Dec Auckland FC A 1–3 L
29 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–3 L
12 Dec Auckland FC H 1–2 L
06 Dec Sydney FC H 1–2 L
29 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–0 D
22 Nov Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
07 Nov Perth Glory FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#8 Position #9
33 Points 32
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
36 Scored 35
48 Conceded 42
-12 GD -7
1.27 PPG 1.23
35% Win % 31%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC49% Draw24% Central Coast Mariners FC27%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
51%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC34% Draw42% Central Coast Mariners FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.