Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 21 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 19,469 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 12' 1–0
Mario Pasalic 58' 2–0
Ademola Lookman 90' 4–0
Marco Brescianini 90+4' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Donatas Rumsas
  • Assistant 1 Aleksandras Radiusas
  • Assistant 2 Dovydas Suziedelis
7 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan SK Sturm Graz H 5–0 W
18 Jan SSC Napoli H 2–3 L
14 Jan Juventus FC H 1–1 D
11 Jan Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
28 Dec SS Lazio A 1–1 D
22 Dec Empoli FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
02 Oct Club Brugge KV H 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Gewiss Stadium that hosts another battle between Atalanta BC and SK Sturm Graz.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' SK Sturm Graz seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 12' Mateo Retegui puts Atalanta BC on the lead.
  • 17' Kjell Scherpen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' SK Sturm Graz is showing some good football. However, SK Sturm Graz are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. SK Sturm Graz is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 36.
  • 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' The whistle greets Amady Camara as he departs to be replaced by Seedy Jatta.
  • 51' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' GOAL! Mario Pasalic scores on 58. Assisted by Juan Cuadrado
  • 63' Goal! Charles De Ketelaere scores his 45 goal in 351 matches.
  • 64' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marco Brescianini is hanging Lazar Samardzic on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' The SK Sturm Graz manager makes a substitution. Malick Yalcouye departs to be replaced by Tomi Horvat.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Atalanta BC. Sead Kolasinac is replaced by Berat Djimsiti.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 78 minute. Tochi Chukwuani leaves to be changed by Stefan Hierlander.
  • 83' It’s high time Jurgen Saumel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Otar Kiteishvili suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' What a strike from Ademola Lookman! The score is 4-0.
  • 90' The SK Sturm Graz manager makes a substitution. Otar Kiteishvili departs to be replaced by Leon Grgic.
  • Full Time. Atalanta BC beats SK Sturm Graz

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC62% Draw21% SK Sturm Graz17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
84%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
38%
Atalanta BC or SK Sturm Graz
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC45% Draw40% SK Sturm Graz15%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
38%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.