Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm Graz — Champions League at Gewiss Stadium.
- Atalanta BC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Donatas Rumsas
- Assistant 1 Aleksandras Radiusas
- Assistant 2 Dovydas Suziedelis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | SK Sturm Graz | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | SSC Napoli | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Juventus FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Dec | Empoli FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | Atalanta BC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 11 Dec | Lille OSC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | Girona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: SK Sturm Graz gets underway.
- 5' Atalanta BC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 12' A stunning finish from Mateo Retegui — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 17' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Kjell Scherpen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 22' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 32' Tochi Chukwuani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 6 appearances.
- 36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lazar Samardzic on 36 minutes.
- 41' A quiet spell here at Gewiss Stadium. Atalanta BC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' A tactical swap from SK Sturm Graz — Seedy Jatta on, Amady Camara off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Davide Zappacosta, a Italy , has 29 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 58' Mario Pasalic doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 63' What composure from Charles De Ketelaere! The Belgium international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 64' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Lazar Samardzic by Marco Brescianini on 64 minute.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Tomi Horvat. He replaces Malick Yalcouye on 69 minute.
- 71' It is a substitution in Atalanta BC team. Sead Kolasinac is replaced by Berat Djimsiti on 71 minute.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' Time for substitution for SK Sturm Graz. Tochi Chukwuani is replaced by Stefan Hierlander.
- 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tomi Horvat, as he is very good at scoring at Gewiss Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 88' It is a cagey affair so far. Atalanta BC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past SK Sturm Graz's compact 4-1-2-1-2.
- 90' Ademola Lookman does the damage! The net is bulging and Atalanta BC surge ahead!
- 90' It is a substitution in SK Sturm Graz team. Otar Kiteishvili is replaced by Leon Grgic on 90 minute.
- Full Time. Atalanta BC beats SK Sturm Graz
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
23
Sead Kolasinac ↓ Berat Djimsiti 71'
- 77
- 2
-
15
Marten de Roon ↓ Ederson 64'
- 8
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Ademola Lookman 46'
- 29
- 17
- 24
- 4
-
27
Marco Palestra ↓ Juan Cuadrado 46'
Bench
-
13
Ederson ↑ 64'
-
11
Ademola Lookman ↑ 46'
- 28
-
7
Juan Cuadrado ↑ 46'
- 31
- 16
-
44
Marco Brescianini ↑ 64'
- 22
- 42
-
19
Berat Djimsiti ↑ 71'
- 48
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 5
- 1
-
10
Otar Kiteishvili ↓ Leon Grgic 90'
- 47
- 24
- 21
- 4
-
15
William Boving ↓ Lovro Zvonarek 69'
-
36
Amady Camara ↓ Seedy Jatta 46'
-
8
Malick Yalcouye ↓ Tomi Horvat 69'
- 23
Bench
-
25
Stefan Hierlander ↑ 78'
-
19
Tomi Horvat ↑ 69'
- 35
- 53
- 17
- 40
-
38
Leon Grgic ↑ 90'
-
20
Seedy Jatta ↑ 46'
-
14
Lovro Zvonarek ↑ 69'
- 32
- 43
- 49
Coach
Jurgen Saumel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luis Muriel | 2 |
| Mario Pasalic | 1 |
| Mateo Retegui | 1 |
| Marco Brescianini | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 1 |
| Szymon Wlodarczyk | 1 |
| Rafael Toloi | 1 |
| Berat Djimsiti | 1 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for:
Atalanta BC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
84%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
38%
Atalanta BC or SK Sturm Graz
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | SK Sturm Graz covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 22% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.