Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 21 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 19,469 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 12' 1–0
Mario Pasalic 58' 2–0
Ademola Lookman 90' 4–0
Marco Brescianini 90+4' 5–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan SK Sturm Graz H 5–0 W
18 Jan SSC Napoli H 2–3 L
14 Jan Juventus FC H 1–1 D
11 Jan Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
28 Dec SS Lazio A 1–1 D
22 Dec Empoli FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
02 Oct Club Brugge KV H 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Atalanta BC have kicked off against SK Sturm Graz. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atalanta BC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 12' Assisted by Davide Zappacosta with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mateo Retegui makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 17' SK Sturm Graz come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 22' It’s high time Gian Piero Gasperini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lovro Zvonarek made 546 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Controversy at the stadium! Lazar Samardzic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 41' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' Seedy Jatta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amady Camara on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 145 games and scored 40 goals.
  • 56' SK Sturm Graz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Mario Pasalic makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Charles De Ketelaere makes it 3-0.
  • 64' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Lazar Samardzic departs to be replaced by Marco Brescianini.
  • 69' The whistle greets Malick Yalcouye as he departs to be replaced by Tomi Horvat.
  • 71' Berat Djimsiti has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sead Kolasinac on 71 minute.
  • 76' Atalanta BC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 78' A tactical swap from SK Sturm Graz — Stefan Hierlander on, Tochi Chukwuani off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' It looks like no one’s ball. SK Sturm Graz is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 88' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Davide Zappacosta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' GOAL! Ademola Lookman fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 90' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Otar Kiteishvili has done his job and it is now time for Leon Grgic to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC62% Draw21% SK Sturm Graz17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
84%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
38%
Atalanta BC or SK Sturm Graz
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC45% Draw40% SK Sturm Graz15%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.