Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 at Stade Municipal.
- Toulouse FC 7 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- ES Troyes AC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | AS Monaco FC | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | FC Lorient | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | OGC Nice | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Racing Club de Lens | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Olympique de Marseille | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | AJ Auxerre | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans FC | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Le Mans FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | AS Monaco FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Le Havre AC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | FC Lorient | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | Lille OSC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Racing Club de Lens | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | Angers SCO | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Lille OSC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | RC Strasbourg Alsace | H | 2–6 | L |
| 29 Aug | FC Lorient | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | ES Troyes AC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #17 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 3 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| 12 | Scored | 5 |
| 11 | Conceded | 16 |
| +1 | GD | -11 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 0.57 |
| 29% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
ES Troyes AC this season
ES Troyes AC this season
Toulouse FC are 12th (9 pts). ES Troyes AC are 17th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
7/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ES Troyes AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
–/5
61-75
–/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
ES Troyes AC
| Renaud Ripart | 1 G |
| Lucas Maronnier | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yasser Larouci | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
| Ado Onaiwu | 1 |
| Branco van den Boomen | 1 |
| Chaibi Fares | 1 |
| Mama Balde | 1 |
| Amine Adli | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
2.44
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
88%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
30%
Toulouse FC or ES Troyes AC
81%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | ES Troyes AC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
46%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
10%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.