Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Daniel Ilievski (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
31 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–0 W
24 Oct Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–5 L
18 Oct Auckland FC H 0–0 D
04 May Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Macarthur FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Melbourne Victory FC A 2–0 W
31 Oct Brisbane Roar FC A 0–0 D
25 Oct Perth Glory FC H 4–0 W
18 Oct Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
03 May Sydney FC H 5–1 W
26 Apr Adelaide United FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Melbourne City FC
#4 Position #6
40 Points 38
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 33
+11 GD +0
1.54 PPG 1.46
42% Win % 38%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Melbourne City FC 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw30% Melbourne City FC33%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
63%
Melbourne Victory FC or Melbourne City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC27% Draw49% Melbourne City FC24%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.