Thursday , 2 July 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2024-25
SK Sturm Graz
1 – 0
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Merkur Arena 26,851 HT 45' · FT 45'
Arjan Malic 43' 1–0
Y 41' Amadou Haidara
Dimitri Lavalee 51' Y
Seedy Jatta 63' Y
Jurgen Saumel 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig — Champions League at Merkur Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Mikola Balakin (Ukraine)
  • Assistant 1 Oleksandr Berkut (Ukraine)
  • Assistant 2 Viktor Matyash (Ukraine)
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
SK Sturm Graz 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-29 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

SK Sturm Graz
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
21 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
15 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
12 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 4–2 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SK Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Amadou Haidara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christoph Baumgartner, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' El Chadaille Bitshiabu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' It’s high time Jurgen Saumel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Dimitri Lavalee has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 41' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Amadou Haidara gets a card.
  • 43' Goal! Arjan Malic scores his 1 goal in 141 matches.
  • 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Dimitri Lavalee.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' SK Sturm Graz seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Seedy Jatta on 63.
  • 65' David Raum is replacing Christoph Baumgartner for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 70' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
  • 71' Castello Lukeba is replacing El Chadaille Bitshiabu for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 74' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 74 minute. Seedy Jatta leaves to be changed by Amady Camara.
  • 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 84' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Lutsharel Geertruida departs to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
  • 86' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 86 minute. Jon Stankovic leaves to be changed by Stefan Hierlander.
  • 90' SK Sturm Graz manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lovro Zvonarek is hanging William Boving on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

SK Sturm Graz Lineups

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jurgen Saumel

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz48% Draw30% RB Leipzig22%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
78%
Draw or RB Leipzig
52%
SK Sturm Graz or RB Leipzig
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz31% Draw53% RB Leipzig16%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.