Saturday , 14 November 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2024-25
SK Sturm Graz
1 – 0
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Merkur Arena 26,851 HT 45' · FT 45'
Arjan Malic 43' 1–0
Y 41' Amadou Haidara
Dimitri Lavalee 51' Y
Seedy Jatta 63' Y
Jurgen Saumel 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig — Champions League at Merkur Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Mikola Balakin (Ukraine)
  • Assistant 1 Oleksandr Berkut (Ukraine)
  • Assistant 2 Viktor Matyash (Ukraine)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
SK Sturm Graz 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-29 SK Sturm Graz 1–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

SK Sturm Graz
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
21 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
15 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
12 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 4–2 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Merkur Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SK Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Merkur Arena. SK Sturm Graz seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jurgen Saumel might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Castello Lukeba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Tochi Chukwuani, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' SK Sturm Graz are deployed in a 4-1-2-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 525 games and scored 749 goals.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Amadou Haidara. He receives a card.
  • 43' Goal! Arjan Malic scores his 1 goal in 147 matches.
  • 48' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 51' Dimitri Lavalee has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
  • 56' SK Sturm Graz currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Seedy Jatta, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 63' Seedy Jatta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 65' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Christoph Baumgartner has done his job and it is now time for David Raum to step up.
  • 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
  • 71' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Castello Lukeba comes on to replace El Chadaille Bitshiabu.
  • 74' Fresh legs for SK Sturm Graz! Amady Camara comes on to replace Seedy Jatta.
  • 79' Willi Orban has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Lukas Klostermann on, Lutsharel Geertruida off on 84 minutes.
  • 86' Fresh legs for SK Sturm Graz! Stefan Hierlander comes on to replace Jon Stankovic.
  • 90' Lovro Zvonarek gets the nod from SK Sturm Graz. He replaces William Boving and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

SK Sturm Graz Lineups

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jurgen Saumel

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz48% Draw30% RB Leipzig22%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
78%
Draw or RB Leipzig
52%
SK Sturm Graz or RB Leipzig
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz31% Draw53% RB Leipzig16%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.