Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
SC Paderborn 07
2 – 0
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Filip Bilbija 15' 1–0
Adriano Grimaldi 84' 2–0
Filip Bilbija 47' Y
Y 63' Adam Karabec
Casper Terho 64' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka
  • Assistant 1 Patrick Kessel
  • Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 FC Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli 1910 6 7
9 VfL Bochum 1848 6 7
10 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 SG Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4

Head-to-Head

3
1
1
SC Paderborn 07 5 games · Avg 2.4 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV 2024-09-28 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 2024-05-10 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2019-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Hamburger SV H 2–0 W
22 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
14 Feb SC Preußen Münster H 2–0 W
08 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 A 2–0 W
02 Feb SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–2 L
26 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 0–2 L
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preußen Münster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
25 Jan Hertha BSC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against Hamburger SV.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Filip Bilbija makes it 1-0.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Paderborn 07 in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Hamburger SV's compact 4-3-3.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' Santiago Castaneda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Calvin Brackelmann on 36 minute.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The 25-year-old Ransford Konigsdorffer has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 47' Filip Bilbija was booked on 47.
  • 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 62' Hamburger SV make a change. Emir Sahiti trudges off to be replaced by Fabio Balde on 62 minutes.
  • 63' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a card on 63.
  • 64' Casper Terho was booked on 64.
  • 69' Laurin Curda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
  • 71' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Casper Terho departs to be replaced by Adriano Grimaldi.
  • 74' Hamburger SV make a change. Adam Karabec trudges off to be replaced by Ransford Konigsdorffer on 74 minutes.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Mattes Hansen. He replaces Tjark Scheller on 76 minute.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emir Sahiti suffering a number of foals already.
  • 84' Against the run of play, Adriano Grimaldi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Otto Stange. He replaces Ludovit Reis on 89 minute.
  • Hamburger SV will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

Hamburger SV Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Merlin Polzin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Filip Bilbija 4
Pierre-Michel Lasogga 2
Robert Glatzel 1
Adriano Grimaldi 1
Laszlo Benes 1
Ilyas Ansah 1
Koen Kostons 1
Davie Selke 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV 2024-09-28 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 2024-05-10 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2019-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 Hamburger SV

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-22 Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2025-02-14 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 SC Preußen Münster W 2025-02-08 SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 L 2025-01-26 SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 SC Paderborn 07 W

Hamburger SV Form

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-02-21 Hamburger SV 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2025-02-16 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2025-02-07 SC Preußen Münster 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-02 Hamburger SV 2–2 Hannover 96 D 2025-01-25 Hertha BSC 2–3 Hamburger SV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0749% Draw27% Hamburger SV24%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
77%
Draw or Hamburger SV
51%
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0732% Draw49% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.