RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

RB Leipzig

2 – 2

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 46,793 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 18' Patrik Schick

0–2 36' Aleix Garcia

David Raum 41' 1–2

Edmond Tapsoba og 86' 2–2

Y 40' Robert Andrich

Y 42' Edmond Tapsoba

Xavi Simons 79' Y

Christoph Baumgartner 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Bastian Dankert
Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.4 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-08-31 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig 2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-08-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 RB Leipzig 2023-04-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
22 Jan	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	2–1	W
18 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	A	3–3	D
15 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
12 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	H	4–2	W
20 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	1–5	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
21 Jan	Club Atletico de Madrid	A	1–2	L
18 Jan	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	3–1	W
14 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
10 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#3	Position	#6
65	Points	59
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
66	Scored	68
47	Conceded	47
+19	GD	+21
1.91	PPG	1.74
59%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome Bayer 04 Leverkusen for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
15' Robert Andrich needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
18' What a strike from Patrik Schick! The score is 0-1.
23' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
33' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
36' Goal! Aleix Garcia scores his 17 goal in 199 matches.
40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robert Andrich on 40 minutes.
41' What a moment for David Raum! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
42' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
46' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Robert Andrich by Exequiel Palacios on 46 minute.
51' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Kevin Kampl by Nicolas Seiwald on 51 minute.
56' Jeremie Frimpong has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
66' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 66 minute. Antonio Nusa leaves to be changed by Christoph Baumgartner.
67' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Patrik Schick has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Tella to step up.
72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
74' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Lois Openda for the RB Leipzig side.
79' Xavi Simons has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
84' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
86' Magnificent from Edmond Tapsoba! That is 19 goals in 394 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
87' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 74'
1
Peter Gulacsi
16
Lukas Klostermann ↓ Ridle Baku 67'
4
Willi Orban
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 51'
22
David Raum
10
Xavi Simons
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
30
Benjamin Sesko
7
Antonio Nusa ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 66'
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↓ Amadou Haidara 51'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

34
Granit Xhaka
4
Jonathan Tah
1
Lukas Hradecky
23
Nordi Mukiele
8
Robert Andrich ↓ Exequiel Palacios 46'
24
Aleix Garcia
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Nathan Tella 67'
12
Edmond Tapsoba
10
Florian Wirtz
3
Piero Hincapie
13
Arthur Augusto ↓ Jeremie Frimpong 66'

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	4
Lois Openda	4
Jeremie Frimpong	3
Christopher Nkunku	3
Yussuf Poulsen	2
Nathan Tella	2
Kai Havertz	2
Timo Werner	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2025-01-25 RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-01-22 RB Leipzig 2–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2025-01-18 VfL Bochum 1848 3–3 RB Leipzig D 2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 SV Werder Bremen W 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-01-25 RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-01-21 Club Atletico de Madrid 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-01-18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.03 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.86 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig41% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

65%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

59%

RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig33% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen29%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

2 – 3

4.3%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.3%

1 – 0

3.7%

0 – 2

3.6%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.