RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jan | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 10 |
| 5 | Conceded | 5 |
| +4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 4 G | 1 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Ibrahim Maza | 1 G | 1 A |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen has kicked off!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jeremie Frimpong suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Benjamin Sesko is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 15' RB Leipzig currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' Patrik Schick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
- 23' Aleix Garcia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 202 appearances.
- 28' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Bayer 04 Leverkusen's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 33' Lukas Hradecky has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' GOAL! Aleix Garcia fires home to make it 0-2!
- 40' It’s gonna be a card for Robert Andrich.
- 41' GOAL! David Raum scores on 41.
- 42' Edmond Tapsoba was booked on 42.
- 46' Exequiel Palacios has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robert Andrich on 46 minute.
- 51' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Nicolas Seiwald on, Kevin Kampl off on 51 minutes.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 66' Christoph Baumgartner is replacing Antonio Nusa for the RB Leipzig side.
- 67' Nathan Tella gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Patrik Schick and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' El Chadaille Bitshiabu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 74' Lois Openda makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 79' The referee calls foul for Xavi Simons. He receives a card.
- 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 86' Edmond Tapsoba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
- 87' The referee has no hesitation. Christoph Baumgartner is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 87.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 74'
- 1
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↓ Ridle Baku 67'
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 51'
- 22
- 10
- 5
- 30
- 7
- 18
Bench
- 6
- 3
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 67'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 66'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 74'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 51'
- 26
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 51'
- 47
Coach
Marco Rose
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
- 23
- 8
- 24
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Nathan Tella 67'
- 12
- 10
- 3
- 13
Bench
- 7
- 36
-
25
Exequiel Palacios ↑ 46'
- 20
-
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↑ 66'
- 17
-
19
Nathan Tella ↑ 67'
- 22
- 40
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lois Openda | 4 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Nathan Tella | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Timo Werner | 2 |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-01-25
RB Leipzig
2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-01-21
Club Atlético de Madrid
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-01-18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
W
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-12-21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–1
SC Freiburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
65%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
60%
RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

