RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
5 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 31.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jan | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 18 | Points | 16 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 3 |
| 27 | Scored | 20 |
| 13 | Conceded | 17 |
| +14 | GD | +3 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 67% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 8 G | 2 A |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 G | 3 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Xabi Alonso will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 18' Patrik Schick does the damage! The net is bulging and Bayer 04 Leverkusen surge ahead!
- 23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Bayer 04 Leverkusen's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 36' Goal! Aleix Garcia scores his 17 goal in 211 matches.
- 40' A moment of madness from Robert Andrich on 40 minutes earns him a card. Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be frustrated.
- 41' David Raum has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
- 42' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 46' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Robert Andrich exits the field as Exequiel Palacios enters on 46.
- 51' Nicolas Seiwald gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kevin Kampl and will look to change the dynamic.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 66' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Christoph Baumgartner comes on to replace Antonio Nusa.
- 67' Nathan Tella is replacing Patrik Schick for the Bayer 04 Leverkusen side.
- 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 74' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Lois Openda has done his job and it is now time for Yussuf Poulsen to step up.
- 79' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
- 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 86' Edmond Tapsoba doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 87' Christoph Baumgartner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 74'
- 1
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↓ Ridle Baku 67'
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 51'
- 22
- 10
- 5
- 30
- 7
- 18
Bench
- 6
- 3
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 67'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 66'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 74'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 51'
- 26
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 51'
- 47
Coach
Marco Rose
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
- 23
- 8
- 24
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Nathan Tella 67'
- 12
- 10
- 3
- 13
Bench
- 7
- 36
-
25
Exequiel Palacios ↑ 46'
- 20
-
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↑ 66'
- 17
-
19
Nathan Tella ↑ 67'
- 22
- 40
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lois Openda | 4 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Nathan Tella | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Timo Werner | 2 |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-01-25
RB Leipzig
2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-01-21
Club Atlético de Madrid
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-01-18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
W
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-12-21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–1
SC Freiburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.95
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
73%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
48%
RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.4%
3 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

