VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
6 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Augsburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Dec | BSC Young Boys | H | 5–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 12 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 27 |
| 15 | Conceded | 13 |
| +0 | GD | +14 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 44% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. RB Leipzig get us underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- 5' A moment of madness from Deniz Undav on 5 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
- 10' The Slovenia Benjamin Sesko breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 0-1!
- 12' A moment of madness from David Krecidlo on 12 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
- 17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
- 20' Benjamin Sesko is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Willi Orban.
- 50' Jacob Bruun Larsen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 60' Nick Woltemade makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and VfB Stuttgart are in front.
- 63' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Ameen Al Dakhil exits the field as Anthony Rouault enters on 63.
- 66' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. David Raum departs to be replaced by Christoph Baumgartner.
- 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lois Openda.
- 71' El Chadaille Bitshiabu gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Lukas Klostermann and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Enzo Millot. He replaces Deniz Undav on 75 minute.
- 80' The 27-year-old Christoph Baumgartner has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 83' A moment of madness from Jamie Leweling on 83 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
- 83' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Chris Fuhrich is replaced by Yannik Keitel.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Benjamin Sesko argues furiously but the card stands.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Kampl on 86 minutes.
- 88' Lois Openda picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' The referee calls foul for El Chadaille Bitshiabu. He receives a card.
- The points are shared — VfB Stuttgart 2-1 RB Leipzig. Honours even.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 16
- 24
- 4
- 25
- 33
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Yannik Keitel 83'
- 11
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Enzo Millot 75'
- 6
- 3
- 2
Bench
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 75'
- 15
- 1
- 20
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 63'
-
5
Yannik Keitel ↑ 83'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↑ 75'
-
29
Anthony Rouault ↑ 63'
- 32
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 17
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 44
- 22
-
10
Xavi Simons ↓ Antonio Nusa 66'
- 13
- 30
- 18
Bench
- 6
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 71'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 66'
- 26
-
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu ↑ 71'
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 66'
- 47
- 29
- 48
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deniz Undav | 4 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 4 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Nick Woltemade | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Lois Openda | 2 |
| Dani Olmo | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig 78% + Over 2.5 goals 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
63%
Draw or RB Leipzig
58%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.