VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2024-25

VfB Stuttgart

2 – 1

Full Time

RB Leipzig

Wed 15 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 57,500 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 10' Benjamin Sesko

Jacob Bruun Larsen 50' 1–1

Nick Woltemade 60' 2–1

Deniz Undav 5' Y

David Krecidlo 12' Y

Y 20' Benjamin Sesko

Y 45' Willi Orban

Y 70' Lois Openda

Jamie Leweling 83' Y

YR 85' Benjamin Sesko

Y 86' Kevin Kampl

YR 88' Lois Openda

Y 90' El Chadaille Bitshiabu

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann
Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals RB Leipzig

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig 2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	2–1	W
12 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	1–0	W
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L
15 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–1	W
11 Dec	BSC Young Boys	H	5–1	W
06 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–2	W

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
12 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	H	4–2	W
20 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	1–5	L
15 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
10 Dec	Aston Villa FC	H	2–3	L
07 Dec	Holstein Kiel	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		RB Leipzig
#4	Position	#3
62	Points	65
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	20 / 5 / 9
71	Scored	66
49	Conceded	47
+22	GD	+19
1.82	PPG	1.91
53%	Win %	59%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

2/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! VfB Stuttgart welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
5' The referee has no hesitation. Deniz Undav is booked for VfB Stuttgart — card on 5.
10' Benjamin Sesko puts RB Leipzig on the lead.
12' The referee has no hesitation. David Krecidlo is booked for VfB Stuttgart — card on 12.
17' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Lois Openda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
20' A moment of madness from Benjamin Sesko on 20 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
25' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
30' Ridle Baku is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
35' Chris Fuhrich needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
40' Julian Chabot has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 307 appearances.
45' Willi Orban has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
50' GOAL! Jacob Bruun Larsen scores on 50. Assisted by Deniz Undav
55' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
60' Nick Woltemade doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
63' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Ameen Al Dakhil is replaced by Anthony Rouault.
66' Christoph Baumgartner gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces David Raum and will look to change the dynamic.
70' A moment of madness from Lois Openda on 70 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
71' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Lukas Klostermann has done his job and it is now time for El Chadaille Bitshiabu to step up.
75' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Deniz Undav is withdrawn and Enzo Millot gets his opportunity.
80' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexander Nubel, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
83' VfB Stuttgart player sees a card in front of him.
83' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Yannik Keitel comes on to replace Chris Fuhrich.
85' Benjamin Sesko is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
86' The referee calls foul for Kevin Kampl. He receives a card.
88' The referee has no hesitation. Lois Openda is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 88.
90' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. El Chadaille Bitshiabu gets a card.
RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. VfB Stuttgart were simply the better side today.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
24
Julian Chabot
4
Josha Vagnoman
25
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↓ Jamie Leweling 63'
33
Alexander Nubel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Yannik Keitel 83'
11
Nick Woltemade ↓ Ermedin Demirovic 75'
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Enzo Millot 75'
6
Angelo Stiller
3
Ramon Hendriks
2
Ameen Al Dakhil ↓ Anthony Rouault 63'

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

11
Lois Openda
17
Ridle Baku
1
Peter Gulacsi
16
Lukas Klostermann ↓ El Chadaille Bitshiabu 71'
4
Willi Orban
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Lutsharel Geertruida 71'
22
David Raum ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 66'
10
Xavi Simons ↓ Antonio Nusa 66'
13
Nicolas Seiwald
30
Benjamin Sesko
18
Arthur Vermeeren

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Deniz Undav	4
Dominik Szoboszlai	4
Benjamin Sesko	3
Nick Woltemade	3
Yussuf Poulsen	2
Lois Openda	2
Dani Olmo	2
Emil Forsberg	2

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-01-12 FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-12-21 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-12-15 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-12-11 VfB Stuttgart 5–1 BSC Young Boys W 2024-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W

RB Leipzig Form

2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 SV Werder Bremen W 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-12-15 RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2024-12-10 RB Leipzig 2–3 Aston Villa FC L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.2 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 RB Leipzig xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart52% Draw22% RB Leipzig26%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

74%

Draw or RB Leipzig

48%

VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart38% Draw38% RB Leipzig24%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.6%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

2 – 0

5.2%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.2%

3 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.7%

1 – 3

3.4%

0 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	RB Leipzig covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	19%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.