Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfB Stuttgart
2 – 1
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Wed 15 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 57,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Benjamin Sesko
Jacob Bruun Larsen 50' 1–1
Nick Woltemade 60' 2–1
Deniz Undav 5' Y
David Krecidlo 12' Y
Y 20' Benjamin Sesko
Y 45' Willi Orban
Y 70' Lois Openda
Jamie Leweling 83' Y
YR 85' Benjamin Sesko
Y 86' Kevin Kampl
YR 88' Lois Openda
Y 90' El Chadaille Bitshiabu

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

7
3
9
VfB Stuttgart 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig 2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
12 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–0 W
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L
15 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
11 Dec BSC Young Boys H 5–1 W
06 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
12 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 4–2 W
20 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
15 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
#15 Position #9
3 Points 6
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
6 Scored 9
9 Conceded 5
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.50
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
Josha Vagnoman 2 G 1 A
Ermedin Demirovic 1 G
Grischa Promel 1 G
Bilal El Khannouss 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and VfB Stuttgart launch into their encounter with RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Poor challenge from Deniz Undav. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 10' Benjamin Sesko makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 12' David Krecidlo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Sesko. He receives a card.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Xavi Simons has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Willi Orban was booked on 45.
  • 50' Jacob Bruun Larsen adds to his 0 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 55' Hungary international Willi Orban has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 60' VfB Stuttgart is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nick Woltemade on 60.
  • 63' Anthony Rouault gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Ameen Al Dakhil and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' RB Leipzig ring the changes. David Raum has done his job and it is now time for Christoph Baumgartner to step up.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Lois Openda.
  • 71' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Lukas Klostermann exits the field as El Chadaille Bitshiabu enters on 71.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Enzo Millot. He replaces Deniz Undav on 75 minute.
  • 80' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 83' Jamie Leweling is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 83' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Chris Fuhrich departs to be replaced by Yannik Keitel.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Benjamin Sesko.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Kampl is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 86.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Lois Openda argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for El Chadaille Bitshiabu on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

RB Leipzig Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Deniz Undav 4
Dominik Szoboszlai 4
Benjamin Sesko 3
Nick Woltemade 3
Emil Forsberg 2
Xavi Simons 2
Jamie Leweling 2
Andre Silva 2

Head to Head

2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig 2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-01-12 FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-12-21 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-12-15 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-12-11 VfB Stuttgart 5–1 BSC Young Boys W 2024-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W

RB Leipzig Form

2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 SV Werder Bremen W 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig L 2024-12-15 RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2024-12-10 RB Leipzig 2–3 Aston Villa FC L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig 78% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart39% Draw22% RB Leipzig39%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
62%
Draw or RB Leipzig
61%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart26% Draw39% RB Leipzig35%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.4%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 15% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 19% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.