Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 24' 1–0
1–1 26' Mitchell Weiser
Xavi Simons 35' 2–1
Benjamin Sesko 47' 3–1
4–2 90+3' Oliver Burke

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 4–2 W
20 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
15 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
21 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–1 W
14 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
07 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
03 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–0 W
30 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig SV Werder Bremen
#3 Position #15
65 Points 32
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
66 Scored 37
47 Conceded 60
+19 GD -23
1.91 PPG 0.94
59% Win % 24%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Germany international Lukas Klostermann has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 11' Marco Friedl is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
  • 16' SV Werder Bremen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 21' It looks like no one’s ball. SV Werder Bremen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' What a strike from Xavi Simons! The score is 1-0.
  • 26' What a moment for Mitchell Weiser! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Senne Lynen made 231 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' GOAL! Xavi Simons scores on 35. Assisted by Arthur Vermeeren
  • 40' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' RB Leipzig has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 46' Milos Veljkovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marco Friedl on 46 minute.
  • 47' Benjamin Sesko does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and SV Werder Bremen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' Christoph Baumgartner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Xavi Simons on 65 minute.
  • 67' Another substitution for SV Werder Bremen to replace Derrick Kohn by Issa Kabore on 67 minute.
  • 72' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 75' Kevin Kampl makes way for Amadou Haidara at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Amadou Haidara is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 82.
  • 87' RB Leipzig make a change. Benjamin Sesko trudges off to be replaced by Andre Silva on 87 minutes.
  • 90' What composure from Christoph Baumgartner! The Austria international strokes it home. 4-1.
  • The points are shared — RB Leipzig 4-2 SV Werder Bremen. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.35 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig59% Draw21% SV Werder Bremen20%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
41%
RB Leipzig or SV Werder Bremen
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig45% Draw38% SV Werder Bremen17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.