RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 21 Dec | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | SV Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #15 |
| 65 | Points | 32 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 |
| 66 | Scored | 37 |
| 47 | Conceded | 60 |
| +19 | GD | -23 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 59% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
SV Werder Bremen this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Germany international Lukas Klostermann has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 11' Marco Friedl is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
- 16' SV Werder Bremen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 21' It looks like no one’s ball. SV Werder Bremen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 24' What a strike from Xavi Simons! The score is 1-0.
- 26' What a moment for Mitchell Weiser! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Senne Lynen made 231 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' GOAL! Xavi Simons scores on 35. Assisted by Arthur Vermeeren
- 40' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' RB Leipzig has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 46' Milos Veljkovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marco Friedl on 46 minute.
- 47' Benjamin Sesko does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
- 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and SV Werder Bremen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 65' Christoph Baumgartner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Xavi Simons on 65 minute.
- 67' Another substitution for SV Werder Bremen to replace Derrick Kohn by Issa Kabore on 67 minute.
- 72' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 75' Kevin Kampl makes way for Amadou Haidara at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Amadou Haidara is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 82.
- 87' RB Leipzig make a change. Benjamin Sesko trudges off to be replaced by Andre Silva on 87 minutes.
- 90' What composure from Christoph Baumgartner! The Austria international strokes it home. 4-1.
- The points are shared — RB Leipzig 4-2 SV Werder Bremen. Honours even.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 11
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 75'
-
22
David Raum ↓ Ridle Baku 65'
- 10
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 87'
- 7
- 18
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 87'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 65'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 65'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 87'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 75'
- 26
- 5
- 47
- 48
Coach
Marco Rose
SV Werder Bremen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
-
32
Marco Friedl ↓ Milos Veljkovic 46'
- 8
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 3
-
6
Jens Stage ↓ Justin Njinmah 87'
-
19
Derrick Kohn ↓ Issa Kabore 67'
- 14
-
17
Marco Grull ↓ Oliver Burke 67'
Bench
-
13
Milos Veljkovic ↑ 46'
-
15
Oliver Burke ↑ 67'
-
10
Leonardo Bittencourt ↑ 87'
- 5
-
29
Issa Kabore ↑ 67'
- 22
- 28
- 30
-
11
Justin Njinmah ↑ 87'
Coach
Ole Werner
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcel Sabitzer | 3 |
| Dani Olmo | 2 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 2 |
| Lukas Klostermann | 2 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 2 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Milot Rashica | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
SV Werder Bremen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.35
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
41%
RB Leipzig or SV Werder Bremen
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | SV Werder Bremen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

