Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 5 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Donyell Malen 85' 1–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Borussia Dortmund 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
02 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
29 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
26 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
22 Oct Real Madrid CF A 2–5 L
18 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Signal Iduna Park as Borussia Dortmund face off against SK Sturm Graz in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Pascal Gross has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' SK Sturm Graz are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund have won 813 goals from 527 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. SK Sturm Graz is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Borussia Dortmund currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felix Kalu Nmecha suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Borussia Dortmund is showing some good football. However, Borussia Dortmund are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' Christian Ilzer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Seedy Jatta as he leaves the pitch. Lovro Zvonarek steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Otar Kiteishvili is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 56' Mika Biereth is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Borussia Dortmund tonight.
  • 60' The SK Sturm Graz bench stirs into life. Max Johnston is withdrawn and Niklas Geyrhofer gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Max Johnston, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' Donyell Malen gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Marcel Sabitzer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' The travelling SK Sturm Graz supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 75.
  • 75' SK Sturm Graz manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erencan Yardimci is hanging Mika Biereth on the field on 75 minute.
  • 77' Cole Campbell gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Jamie Bynoe-Gittens and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Donyell Malen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 89' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Maximilian Beier trudges off to be replaced by Ayman Azhil on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Tomi Horvat gets the nod from SK Sturm Graz. He replaces Otar Kiteishvili and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund55% Draw28% SK Sturm Graz17%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
83%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
45%
Borussia Dortmund or SK Sturm Graz
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund35% Draw53% SK Sturm Graz12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 26% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.