Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 5 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Donyell Malen 85' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Erik Lambrechts
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Monteny
  • Assistant 2 Jo De Weirdt
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Borussia Dortmund 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
02 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
29 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
26 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
22 Oct Real Madrid CF A 2–5 L
18 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Signal Iduna Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 141 games and scored 37 goals.
  • 15' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Max Johnston has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' SK Sturm Graz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' That looks like a foul for a card for Christian Ilzer.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SK Sturm Graz team. Seedy Jatta is replaced by Lovro Zvonarek on 46 minute.
  • 51' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' It’s high time Nuri Sahin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' The whistle greets Max Johnston as he departs to be replaced by Niklas Geyrhofer.
  • 65' SK Sturm Graz is showing some good football. However, SK Sturm Graz are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 67 minute. Marcel Sabitzer leaves to be changed by Donyell Malen.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SK Sturm Graz needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Donyell Malen.
  • 75' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 75 minute. Mika Biereth leaves to be changed by Erencan Yardimci.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replaced by Cole Campbell on 77 minute.
  • 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Otar Kiteishvili made 141 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' What a strike from Donyell Malen! The score is 1-0.
  • 89' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Maximilian Beier by Ayman Azhil on 89 minute.
  • 90' Another substitution for SK Sturm Graz to replace Otar Kiteishvili by Tomi Horvat on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund55% Draw28% SK Sturm Graz17%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
83%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
45%
Borussia Dortmund or SK Sturm Graz
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund35% Draw53% SK Sturm Graz12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 26% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
52%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.