Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–3 D
27 Sep Heracles Almelo A 0–3 L
19 Sep FC Twente '65 H 1–5 L
14 Sep SBV Excelsior A 1–0 W
31 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
23 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 3–3 D
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
27 Sep NAC Breda H 2–1 W
21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D
17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam AFC Ajax
#11 Position #5
3 Points 4
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 0
3 Scored 4
2 Conceded 2
+1 GD +2
1.50 PPG 2.00
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Sparta Rotterdam this season
50% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Sparta Rotterdam are 11th (3 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Sparta Rotterdam have kicked off against AFC Ajax. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Sparta Rotterdam xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sparta Rotterdam34% Draw26% AFC Ajax40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
59%
Draw or AFC Ajax
66%
Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sparta Rotterdam25% Draw41% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap Sparta Rotterdam covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
17%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.