Friday , 23 October 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2026-27
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:45 UTC Het Kasteel

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Het Kasteel.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct Willem II Tilburg H 3–2 W
10 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 3–3 D
19 Sep SC Heerenveen H 0–4 L
13 Sep PSV A 1–4 L
04 Sep PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
29 Aug SBV Excelsior A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct FC Groningen A 5–2 W
10 Oct NEC H 1–1 D
19 Sep SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D
15 Sep Willem II Tilburg H 5–1 W
12 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 5–1 W
05 Sep PSV H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam AFC Ajax
#13 Position #4
9 Points 18
9 Played 9
2 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 3 / 1
16 Scored 27
22 Conceded 12
-6 GD +15
1.00 PPG 2.00
22% Win % 56%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Sparta Rotterdam this season
22% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Sparta Rotterdam are 13th (9 pts). AFC Ajax are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/6
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam
Milan Zonneveld 7 G 1 A
Marvin Young 2 G
Nokkvi THorisson 1 G
AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 6 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 4 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

H2H

Predictions

1.5 Sparta Rotterdam xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.53 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

Sparta Rotterdam20% Draw19% AFC Ajax61%

Both Teams to Score

Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 5.03

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 54%
46%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
38%
Draw or AFC Ajax
80%
Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax
81%

Half-Time Result

Sparta Rotterdam14% Draw29% AFC Ajax57%

Correct Score

1 – 3
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
1 – 4
6.2%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 4
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 4
4.3%
1 – 1
4.2%
2 – 5
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap Sparta Rotterdam covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 7% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 27% — 73%
+1 27% 17% 56%
+1.5 44% — 56%
+2 44% 18% 38%
+2.5 62% — 38%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
4%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.