Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Het Kasteel.
- Sparta Rotterdam 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | AFC Ajax | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Groningen | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | SBV Excelsior | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 9 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Willem II Tilburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | SC Heerenveen | H | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | PSV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 04 Sep | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | SBV Excelsior | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | FC Groningen | A | 5–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | NEC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Willem II Tilburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sparta Rotterdam | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 9 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 2 / 3 / 4 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 1 |
| 16 | Scored | 27 |
| 22 | Conceded | 12 |
| -6 | GD | +15 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 22% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sparta Rotterdam this season
Sparta Rotterdam this season
22%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Sparta Rotterdam are 13th (9 pts). AFC Ajax are 4th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sparta Rotterdam
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/6
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sparta Rotterdam
| Milan Zonneveld | 7 G | 1 A |
| Marvin Young | 2 G | |
| Nokkvi THorisson | 1 G |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 4 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 3 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 3 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Arno Verschueren | 2 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
| Danzell Gravenberch | 2 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 2 |
Head to Head
Sparta Rotterdam Form
Predictions
1.5
Sparta Rotterdam xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.53
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 5.03
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 4.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
Double Chance
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
38%
Draw or AFC Ajax
80%
Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax
81%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 3
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
1 – 4
6.2%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 4
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 4
4.3%
1 – 1
4.2%
2 – 5
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam
| Handicap | Sparta Rotterdam covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 7% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +1 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| +1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +2 | 44% | 18% | 38% |
| +2.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
Clean Sheet
Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
4%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

