Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lille OSC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 17:45 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 45,796 HT 45' · FT 45'
Osame Sahraoui 37' 1–0
Mitchel Bakker 45+2' 2–0
2–1 45+4' Otar Kiteishvili
2–2 47' Mika Biereth
Hakon Haraldsson 81' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)
  • Assistant 1 Martin Margaritov
  • Assistant 2 Diyan Valkov
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 4.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec SK Sturm Graz H 3–2 W
06 Dec Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
01 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
24 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W
10 Nov OGC Nice A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
02 Oct Club Brugge KV H 0–1 L
19 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade Pierre Mauroy. Lille OSC are looking to make home advantage count against SK Sturm Graz.
  • 5' Lille OSC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SK Sturm Graz backline.
  • 8' Controversy at the stadium! Tochi Chukwuani argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 13' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' Seedy Jatta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lille OSC so far.
  • 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 28' Lille OSC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SK Sturm Graz's 4-1-2-1-2 shape.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Assisted by Alexsandro Ribeiro with the perfectly-timed delivery and Osame Sahraoui makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 47' Against the run of play, Mitchel Bakker has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' The Georgia Otar Kiteishvili breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-1!
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' Lille OSC make a change. Ayyoub Bouaddi trudges off to be replaced by Ngal'ayel Mukau on 56 minutes.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lille OSC and SK Sturm Graz are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arjan Malic, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Pierre Mauroy with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Lille OSC! Gabriel Gudmundsson comes on to replace Ismaily.
  • 73' Jonathan David needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mitchel Bakker on 74 minutes.
  • 79' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Ayyoub Bouaddi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Lille OSC! Hakon Haraldsson comes on to replace Mitchel Bakker.
  • 81' The Iceland Hakon Haraldsson breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 3-1!
  • 84' The whistle greets Jon Stankovic as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Hierlander.
  • 85' Tomi Horvat is ready to make an impact after coming on for William Boving at the 85 minute mark.
  • 87' Arjan Malic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Johnston at the 87 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. Lille OSC and SK Sturm Graz share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC56% Draw23% SK Sturm Graz21%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
78%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
44%
Lille OSC or SK Sturm Graz
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC39% Draw41% SK Sturm Graz20%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
28%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.