Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 17:45 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 45,796 HT 45' · FT 45'
Osame Sahraoui 37' 1–0
Mitchel Bakker 45+2' 2–0
2–1 45+4' Otar Kiteishvili
2–2 47' Mika Biereth
Hakon Haraldsson 81' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)
  • Assistant 1 Martin Margaritov
  • Assistant 2 Diyan Valkov
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 4.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec SK Sturm Graz H 3–2 W
06 Dec Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
01 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
24 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W
10 Nov OGC Nice A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
02 Oct Club Brugge KV H 0–1 L
19 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Lille OSC gets underway.
  • 5' Mika Biereth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
  • 8' SK Sturm Graz player sees a card in front of him.
  • 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' The travelling SK Sturm Graz supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ayyoub Bouaddi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' It’s high time Jurgen Saumel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 33' Gregory Wuthrich has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' Lille OSC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Osame Sahraoui on 37.
  • 42' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' What a strike from Mitchel Bakker! The score is 2-0.
  • 49' Goal! Otar Kiteishvili scores his 4 goal in 141 matches.
  • 54' SK Sturm Graz seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Another change for Lille OSC made on 56 minute. Ayyoub Bouaddi leaves to be changed by Ngal'ayel Mukau.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Lille OSC team. Ismaily is replaced by Gabriel Gudmundsson on 68 minute.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Seedy Jatta, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Pierre Mauroy with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' The referee shows Lille OSC player a card on 74.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomi Horvat made 13 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Hakon Haraldsson. He replaces Mitchel Bakker on 80 minute.
  • 81' GOAL! Hakon Haraldsson scores on 81. Assisted by Jonathan David
  • 84' Stefan Hierlander is replacing Jon Stankovic for the SK Sturm Graz side.
  • 85' Tomi Horvat has so much to prove this time. He replaces William Boving on 85 minute.
  • 87' Arjan Malic is replacing Max Johnston for the SK Sturm Graz side.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Lille OSC players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC56% Draw23% SK Sturm Graz21%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
78%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
44%
Lille OSC or SK Sturm Graz
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC39% Draw41% SK Sturm Graz20%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
28%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.