Saturday , 14 November 2026

Lille OSC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 17:45 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 45,796 HT 45' · FT 45'
Osame Sahraoui 37' 1–0
Mitchel Bakker 45+2' 2–0
2–1 45+4' Otar Kiteishvili
2–2 47' Mika Biereth
Hakon Haraldsson 81' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs SK Sturm Graz — Champions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)
  • Assistant 1 Martin Margaritov
  • Assistant 2 Diyan Valkov
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 25.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec SK Sturm Graz H 3–2 W
06 Dec Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
01 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
24 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W
10 Nov OGC Nice A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
02 Oct Club Brugge KV H 0–1 L
19 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/4
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Soriba Diaoune 2 G
Alexsandro Ribeiro 1 G 1 A
Ayase Ueda 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Pierre Mauroy that hosts another battle between Lille OSC and SK Sturm Graz.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 8' The referee calls foul for Tochi Chukwuani. He receives a card.
  • 13' Jon Stankovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lille OSC and SK Sturm Graz are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' Lille OSC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SK Sturm Graz backline.
  • 33' Lille OSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' Lille OSC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Osame Sahraoui on 37.
  • 42' Stefan Hierlander, a Austria midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 47' GOAL! Mitchel Bakker scores on 45.
  • 49' What a strike from Otar Kiteishvili! The score is 2-1.
  • 54' SK Sturm Graz have won 41 goals from 147 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Lille OSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ngal'ayel Mukau is hanging Ayyoub Bouaddi on the field on 56 minute.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Lille OSC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SK Sturm Graz's compact 4-1-2-1-2.
  • 68' Lille OSC make a change. Ismaily trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Gudmundsson on 68 minutes.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 147 games and scored 41 goals.
  • 74' Mitchel Bakker catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
  • 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Benjamin Andre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 80' Hakon Haraldsson gets the nod from Lille OSC. He replaces Mitchel Bakker and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Magnificent from Hakon Haraldsson! That is 13 goals in 477 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 84' Time for substitution for SK Sturm Graz. Jon Stankovic is replaced by Stefan Hierlander.
  • 85' William Boving makes way for Tomi Horvat at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from SK Sturm Graz.
  • 87' Arjan Malic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Max Johnston on 87 minute.
  • 3-2 the final result. SK Sturm Graz will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC56% Draw23% SK Sturm Graz21%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
78%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
44%
Lille OSC or SK Sturm Graz
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC39% Draw41% SK Sturm Graz20%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.