Saturday , 17 October 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sat 5 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Max Burda
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Julius Martenstein
4 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 16.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
29 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
23 Aug 1. FC Phönix Lübeck A 4–2 W
17 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
08 May Karlsruher SC H 2–2 D
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep SC Paderborn 07 A 1–0 W
30 Aug SV Werder Bremen H 4–1 W
23 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 5–1 W
20 May Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
16 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07 SC Freiburg
#15 Position #1
4 Points 13
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
3 Scored 14
7 Conceded 4
-4 GD +10
0.80 PPG 2.60
20% Win % 80%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
40% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 15th (4 pts). SC Freiburg are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. sc paderborn 07 host sc freiburg — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. sc freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' sc freiburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 20' sc paderborn 07 currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' sc paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' GOAL! Maximilian Eggestein fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 31' Laurin Curda, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' The 23-year-old Derry Scherhant has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Laurin Curda argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 43' SC Freiburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 46' Steffen Tigges is replacing Rayan Philippe for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 48' The referee calls foul for Jano ter Horst. He receives a card.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. sc paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Philipp Lienhart on 56 minutes.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yannik Engelhardt.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 69' It’s high time Ralf Kettemann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' SC Freiburg make a change. Jan-Niklas Beste trudges off to be replaced by Lukas Kubler on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 82' Berkay Yilmaz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yannik Engelhardt on 82 minute.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with sc freiburg winning 100% of all matches.
  • 89' The whistle greets Mattes Hansen as he departs to be replaced by Niklas Mohr.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Tjark Scheller. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Full Time. sc freiburg beats sc paderborn 07

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.74 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0720% Draw25% SC Freiburg55%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
45%
Draw or SC Freiburg
80%
SC Paderborn 07 or SC Freiburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0711% Draw44% SC Freiburg45%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
12.6%
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 36% — 64%
+1 36% 25% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 20% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
48% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.