Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Hamburger SV

2 – 1

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2019-10-29 Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart 2018-05-05 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Hamburger SV 2017-12-12 Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart 2017-02-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	0–1	L
08 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–1	D
02 Nov	1. FC Köln	A	1–4	L
28 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–0	W
25 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–1	L

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	Hamburger SV	A	1–2	L
27 Nov	Go Ahead Eagles	A	4–0	W
22 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–3	D
09 Nov	FC Augsburg	H	3–2	W
06 Nov	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV		VfB Stuttgart
#16	Position	#15
3	Points	3
4	Played	4
1 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
2	Scored	6
13	Conceded	9
-11	GD	-3
0.75	PPG	0.75
25%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/2

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Hamburger SV have kicked off against VfB Stuttgart. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Full Time. Hamburger SV beats VfB Stuttgart

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Aaron Hunt	1
Nicolas Gonzalez	1
Hamadi Al Ghaddioui	1
Maximilian Mittelstadt	1
Chris Fuhrich	1
Angelo Stiller	1
Bilal El Khannouss	1

Head to Head

Hamburger SV Form

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-11-22 FC Augsburg 1–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-11-08 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-11-02 1. FC Köln 4–1 Hamburger SV L 2025-10-28 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–1 Hamburger SV W 2025-10-25 Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg L

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-11-30 Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-11-27 Go Ahead Eagles 0–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-11-22 Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-11-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 FC Augsburg W 2025-11-06 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Feyenoord Rotterdam W 2025-11-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.03 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.12 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV25% Draw23% VfB Stuttgart52%

Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

49%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

75%

Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV15% Draw41% VfB Stuttgart44%

Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.2%

1 – 2

9.6%

0 – 2

9.5%

0 – 1

8.5%

1 – 3

6.7%

0 – 3

6.6%

0 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

4.9%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

3.7%

1 – 4

3.6%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	39%	—	61%
+1	39%	22%	38%
+1.5	62%	—	38%
+2	62%	19%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.