Tuesday , 13 October 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sat 29 Aug 2026 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,005 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 0–0 D
23 Aug VfB 1921 Krieschow A 9–0 W
16 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
10 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–3 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
23 Aug 1. FC Phönix Lübeck A 4–2 W
17 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
08 May Karlsruher SC H 2–2 D
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Paderborn 07
#8 Position #15
7 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
13 Scored 3
10 Conceded 7
+3 GD -4
1.40 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
20% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 8th (7 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Anthony Caci 2 G 1 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds MEWA Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 38' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 417 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 321 games and scored 235 goals.
  • 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' Steffen Tigges is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefano Marino at the 67 minute mark.
  • 68' Sheraldo Becker makes way for Otto Ruoppi at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 72' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Mattes Hansen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Silvan Widmer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Caci at the 73 minute mark.
  • 75' The whistle greets Mattes Hansen as he departs to be replaced by Jonah Sticker.
  • 79' Kacper Potulski gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Dominik Kohr and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' The 30-year-old Raphael Obermair has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Philipp Mwene on 90 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 90' Marvin Pieringer makes way for Clemens Lippmann at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0554% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0720%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
46%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0539% Draw46% SC Paderborn 0715%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
18% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.