1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
4 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Bayern Munchen | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | SV Werder Bremen | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | SV 07 Elversberg | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Koln | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | VfB 1921 Krieschow | A | 9–0 | W |
| 16 May | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | 1. FC Phönix Lübeck | A | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 May | Karlsruher SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 1–5 | L |
| 26 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #15 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 13 | Scored | 3 |
| 10 | Conceded | 7 |
| +3 | GD | -4 |
| 1.40 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 40% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
20%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 8th (7 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 15th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Anthony Caci | 2 G | 1 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds MEWA Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 3-4-3 shape.
- 38' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
- 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 417 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 321 games and scored 235 goals.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 67' Steffen Tigges is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefano Marino at the 67 minute mark.
- 68' Sheraldo Becker makes way for Otto Ruoppi at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 72' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Mattes Hansen will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Silvan Widmer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Caci at the 73 minute mark.
- 75' The whistle greets Mattes Hansen as he departs to be replaced by Jonah Sticker.
- 79' Kacper Potulski gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Dominik Kohr and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 89' The 30-year-old Raphael Obermair has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' A moment of madness from Philipp Mwene on 90 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 90' Marvin Pieringer makes way for Clemens Lippmann at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Otto Ruoppi 68'
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Kacper Potulski 79'
- 2
- 27
- 10
- 21
- 9
- 6
- 7
- 3
Bench
- 4
- 1
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 68'
- 24
-
20
Otto Ruoppi ↑ 68'
-
48
Kacper Potulski ↑ 79'
- 47
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 15
- 40
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Steffen Tigges 67'
-
28
Laurin Ulrich ↓ Tom Baack 75'
- 21
- 5
- 17
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Jonah Sticker 75'
- 25
Bench
-
6
Tom Baack ↑ 75'
- 1
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 67'
- 7
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 75'
- 38
-
29
Clemens Lippmann ↑ 90'
- 8
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robin Quaison | 2 |
| Ben Zolinski | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 1 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-08-29
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-08-23
VfB 1921 Krieschow
0–9
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-05-16
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-05-10
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-04-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–4
FC Bayern Munchen
L
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
46%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

