Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bakery Jatta 14' 1–0
1–1 16' Igor Matanovic
Luka Vuskovic 64' 2–1
Fabio Balde 67' 3–1
3–2 87' Igor Matanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
25 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
18 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
#13 Position #7
38 Points 47
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
40 Scored 51
54 Conceded 57
-14 GD -6
1.12 PPG 1.38
26% Win % 38%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/
16-30
/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hamburger SV is hosting SC Freiburg for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luka Vuskovic made 134 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Bakery Jatta puts Hamburger SV on the lead.
  • 16' What a strike from Igor Matanovic! The score is 1-1.
  • 20' Lukas Kubler was booked on 20.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas Capaldo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' SC Freiburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Igor Matanovic scoring 2 goals.
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Freiburg that had 493 games and scored 469 goals.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ifechukwu Ogbus, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
  • 64' Sensational shot from Luka Vuskovic. Hamburger SV is back in the lead.
  • 65' It’s gonna be a card for Luka Vuskovic.
  • 67' What a strike from Fabio Balde! The score is 3-1.
  • 72' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 82' Hamburger SV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Capaldo on 86.
  • 87' Igor Matanovic with the second goal in the match!
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.75 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SC Freiburg 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV43% Draw25% SC Freiburg32%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
68%
Draw or SC Freiburg
57%
Hamburger SV or SC Freiburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV31% Draw42% SC Freiburg27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
20%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.