Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bakery Jatta 14' 1–0
1–1 16' Igor Matanovic
Luka Vuskovic 64' 2–1
Fabio Balde 67' 3–1
3–2 87' Igor Matanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
25 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
18 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
#19 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Hamburger SV launch into their encounter with SC Freiburg.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 14' Bakery Jatta adds to his 0 season tally! Hamburger SV lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 16' What a moment for Igor Matanovic! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 20' It’s gonna be a card for Lukas Kubler.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Volksparkstadion. SC Freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' Maximilian Eggestein is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamburger SV tonight.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Brilliant from the ! Luka Vuskovic makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 64.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Luka Vuskovic. He receives a card.
  • 67' The Germany Fabio Balde breaks the deadlock on 67 minutes. 3-1!
  • 72' Matthias Ginter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 166 appearances.
  • 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolai Remberg, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 82' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Nicolas Capaldo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Igor Matanovic makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and SC Freiburg are in front.
  • Another three points for Hamburger SV.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV40% Draw32% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
60%
Hamburger SV or SC Freiburg
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV24% Draw55% SC Freiburg21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
40%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.