Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bakery Jatta 14' 1–0
1–1 16' Igor Matanovic
Luka Vuskovic 64' 2–1
Fabio Balde 67' 3–1
3–2 87' Igor Matanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
25 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
18 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
#11 Position #3
12 Points 19
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 2
10 Scored 20
20 Conceded 10
-10 GD +10
1.33 PPG 2.11
44% Win % 67%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV are looking to make home advantage count against SC Freiburg.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 14' What a moment for Bakery Jatta! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' Igor Matanovic does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Freiburg surge ahead!
  • 20' It’s a booking for SC Freiburg player. Lukas Kubler gets a card.
  • 25' Portugal international Fabio Vieira has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hamburger SV must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Capaldo made 207 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luka Vuskovic makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 65' It’s gonna be a card for Luka Vuskovic.
  • 67' Fabio Balde has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
  • 72' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 77' Hamburger SV currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 82' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 86' That is a card for Hamburger SV. Nicolas Capaldo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Igor Matanovic makes it 3-2 with a superb finish on 87.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV31% Draw22% SC Freiburg47%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Freiburg
69%
Hamburger SV or SC Freiburg
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV21% Draw38% SC Freiburg41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 4
3.8%
0 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 20% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 16% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.