Friday , 6 November 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Carlos Vinicius pen 17' 1–0
1–1 23' Kaio Jorge
Cristian Pavon 41' 2–1
2–2 48' Kaio Jorge
2–3 61' Kaio Jorge
2–4 80' Joao Marcelo

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Bruno Boschilia
  • Assistant 2 Brigida Cirilo Ferreira (Brazil)
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 2–4 L
11 Oct SC Internacional H 1–1 D
07 Oct Clube do Remo A 1–1 D
20 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–0 D
16 Sep Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
12 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Gremio FBPA A 4–2 W
13 Oct RB Bragantino A 2–4 L
08 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 3–1 W
13 Sep Santos FC A 1–2 L
06 Sep CA Paranaense H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Cruzeiro EC
#18 Position #3
37 Points 60
34 Played 34
9 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 18 / 6 / 10
38 Scored 55
47 Conceded 48
-9 GD +7
1.09 PPG 1.76
26% Win % 53%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A
Cruzeiro EC
Kaio Jorge 12 G 2 A
Matheus Pereira 9 G 7 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
  • 5' Kaio Jorge has been relatively quiet despite scoring 42 goals in his last 297 appearances.
  • 10' Matheus Henrique has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 31 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' Francis Amuzu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 17' Carlos Vinicius puts Gremio FBPA on the lead.
  • 22' It’s high time Luis Castro made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 23' What a moment for Kaio Jorge! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' Mathias Villasanti, a Paraguay , has 21 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wesley Gassova is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
  • 36' Erick Noriega has so much to prove this time. He replaces Danilo Barbosa on 36 minute.
  • 41' What a moment for Cristian Pavon! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Luciano Rodriguez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
  • 48' Brilliant from the ! Kaio Jorge makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 48.
  • 53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Castro might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' What composure from Kaio Jorge! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-5.
  • 66' The whistle greets Filip Krovinovic as he departs to be replaced by Martin Braithwaite.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Joao Marcelo. He receives a card.
  • 71' Matheus Pereira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 73' A moment of madness from Walter Kannemann on 73 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 76' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. Keny Arroyo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Wesley Gassova gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Keny Arroyo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' GOAL! Joao Marcelo scores on 80.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Tete. He replaces Cristian Pavon on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Cruzeiro EC beats Grêmio FBPA

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA26% Draw24% Cruzeiro EC50%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
50%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
74%
Gremio FBPA or Cruzeiro EC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA21% Draw41% Cruzeiro EC38%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 21% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.