Saturday , 29 August 2026

1. FC Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07, DFB-Pokal 2026-27 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2026-27
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 16:00 UTC Stadion Lohmuhle HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jano ter Horst
0–2 41' Santiago Castaneda
Moritz Kretzer 43' 1–2
1–3 61' Stefano Marino
1–4 71' Gabriel Vidovic
Tjark Scheller og 75' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07DFB-Pokal at Stadion Lohmuhle.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)

Head-to-Head

1
1. FC Phönix Lübeck 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 2–4 L
17 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug 1. FC Phönix Lübeck A 4–2 W
17 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
08 May Karlsruher SC H 2–2 D
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Phönix Lübeck this season
0% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Phönix Lübeck
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
/2
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FC Phonix Lubeck welcome SC Paderborn 07 for this crunch clash at Stadion Lohmuhle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Stadion Lohmuhle. 1. FC Phonix Lubeck seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' SC Paderborn 07 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Clemens Lippmann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
  • 22' What a strike from Jano ter Horst! The score is 0-1.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Phonix Lubeck and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 36' Raphael Obermair was booked on 36.
  • 41' What a strike from Santiago Castaneda! The score is 0-2.
  • 43' A goal from the Germany international Moritz Kretzer! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-2!
  • 46' Julian Markvoort Beke is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kilian Skolik at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 61' What a moment for Stefano Marino! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' Ousman Touray gets the nod from 1. FC Phonix Lubeck. He replaces Anton Ihde and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' 1. FC Phonix Lubeck receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
  • 71' A stunning finish from Gabriel Vidovic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 72' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Steffen Tigges is hanging Gabriel Vidovic on the field on 72 minute.
  • 73' Jonathan Stover makes way for Miguel Fernandes at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Phonix Lubeck.
  • 75' The deadlock is broken! Miguel Fernandes gets on the scoresheet on 75 minutes.
  • 75' Markus Schubert picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 77' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07Jonah Sticker on, Mattes Hansen off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Raphael Obermair has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 144 appearances.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 1. FC Phonix Lubeck will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 1. FC Phönix Lübeck xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.34 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Phönix Lübeck28% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0748%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

1. FC Phönix Lübeck or Draw
52%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
1. FC Phönix Lübeck or SC Paderborn 07
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Phönix Lübeck22% Draw37% SC Paderborn 0741%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 4
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Phönix Lübeck

Handicap 1. FC Phönix Lübeck covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 13% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 20% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 16% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Phönix Lübeck keeps clean sheet
11%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.