Saturday , 5 September 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,027 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Rohr 4' 1–0
David Mokwa Ntusu 17' 2–0
Lukas Petkov 28' 3–0
Lukas Petkov 41' 4–0
4–1 65' Calvin Brackelmann
Raif Adam 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game 22.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Paderborn 07 H 5–1 W
25 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–3 D
17 Apr Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
12 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
05 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
21 Mar Arminia Bielefeld H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
05 Apr SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–0 W
21 Mar SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SV 07 Elversberg to score. At the same time, SC Paderborn 07 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' GOAL! Maximilian Rohr scores on 4. Assisted by Lukas Petkov
  • 9' David Mokwa Ntusu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
  • 14' Over 14 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 17' Assisted by Lasse Gunther with the perfectly-timed delivery and David Mokwa Ntusu makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 22' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Lukas Petkov has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' That is a card for SV 07 Elversberg. Jan Gyamerah will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' A stunning finish from Lukas Petkov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 43' Immanuel Pherai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tjark Scheller on 47 minutes.
  • 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 62' Felix Gotze needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Amara Conde on 64.
  • 65' Magnificent from Calvin Brackelmann! That is 4 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' Ruben Muller has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 74' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
  • 78' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 83' Florian Le Joncour has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Nick Batzner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The points are shared — SV 07 Elversberg 5-1 SC Paderborn 07. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg53% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0723%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
47%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV 07 Elversberg39% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0719%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
30%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.