Sunday , 16 August 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,027 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Rohr 4' 1–0
David Mokwa Ntusu 17' 2–0
Lukas Petkov 28' 3–0
Lukas Petkov 41' 4–0
4–1 65' Calvin Brackelmann
Raif Adam 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Paderborn 07 H 5–1 W
25 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–3 D
17 Apr Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
12 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
05 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
21 Mar Arminia Bielefeld H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
05 Apr SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 2–0 W
21 Mar SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Ursapharm-Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07.
  • 4' Magnificent from Maximilian Rohr! That is 3 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 14' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' David Mokwa Ntusu is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 22' Jonah Sticker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SV 07 Elversberg tonight.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 28' Lukas Petkov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
  • 33' SV 07 Elversberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
  • 38' SV 07 Elversberg receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 41' A stunning finish from Lukas Petkov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 43' Immanuel Pherai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tjark Scheller on 47.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Wagner will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Castaneda made 145 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Amara Conde.
  • 65' The Germany defender Calvin Brackelmann breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 4-1!
  • 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stefano Marino is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Kennedy Okpala is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 74.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Steffen Tigges.
  • 83' SV 07 Elversberg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 5-3-2 shape.
  • 88' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Laurin Curda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nick Batzner on 90 minutes.
  • 5-1 the final result. SC Paderborn 07 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg53% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0723%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
47%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV 07 Elversberg39% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0719%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
30%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.