Saturday , 14 November 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,027 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Rohr 4' 1–0
David Mokwa Ntusu 17' 2–0
Lukas Petkov 28' 3–0
Lukas Petkov 41' 4–0
4–1 65' Calvin Brackelmann
Raif Adam 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Paderborn 07 H 5–1 W
25 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–3 D
17 Apr Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
12 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
05 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
21 Mar Arminia Bielefeld H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
05 Apr SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–0 W
21 Mar SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — let the football do the talking.
  • 4' GOAL! Maximilian Rohr scores on 4. Assisted by Lukas Petkov
  • 9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 14' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Dennis Seimen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' David Mokwa Ntusu adds to his 2 season tally! SV 07 Elversberg lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 27' Filip Bilbija is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Lukas Petkov has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' Jan Gyamerah catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 41' GOAL! Lukas Petkov fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 43' Immanuel Pherai was booked on 43.
  • 47' The referee calls foul for Tjark Scheller. He receives a card.
  • 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' The 25-year-old Immanuel Pherai has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' It’s a booking for SV 07 Elversberg player. Amara Conde gets a card.
  • 65' Calvin Brackelmann adds to his 1 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 70' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 74' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 78.
  • 83' Tjark Scheller has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 283 appearances.
  • 88' Laurin Curda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Nick Batzner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Paderborn 07.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg53% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0723%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
47%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV 07 Elversberg39% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0719%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.