Thursday , 2 July 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,027 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Rohr 4' 1–0
David Mokwa Ntusu 17' 2–0
Lukas Petkov 28' 3–0
Lukas Petkov 41' 4–0
4–1 65' Calvin Brackelmann
Raif Adam 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Paderborn 07 H 5–1 W
25 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–3 D
17 Apr Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
12 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
05 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
21 Mar Arminia Bielefeld H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
05 Apr SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–0 W
21 Mar SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SV 07 Elversberg SC Paderborn 07
#2 Position #3
62 Points 62
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
64 Scored 59
39 Conceded 45
+25 GD +14
1.82 PPG 1.82
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SV 07 Elversberg this season
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

SV 07 Elversberg are 2nd (62 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV 07 Elversberg
0-15
4/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SV 07 Elversberg is hosting SC Paderborn 07 for another epic battle.
  • 4' Maximilian Rohr puts SV 07 Elversberg on the lead.
  • 9' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 17' Goal! David Mokwa Ntusu scores his 5 goal in 407 matches.
  • 22' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
  • 28' What a strike from Lukas Petkov! The score is 3-0.
  • 33' Amara Conde needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jan Gyamerah on 38.
  • 41' Lukas Petkov with the second goal in the match!
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Immanuel Pherai. He receives a card.
  • 47' Tjark Scheller was booked on 47.
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
  • 64' Amara Conde was booked on 64.
  • 65' Goal! Calvin Brackelmann scores his 4 goal in 169 matches.
  • 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 74' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 74.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Steffen Tigges. He receives a card.
  • 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 88' SC Paderborn 07 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 88.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nick Batzner on 90.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.3 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg56% Draw22% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
44%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg43% Draw38% SC Paderborn 0719%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
26%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.