SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.
- SV 07 Elversberg 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
3 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 22.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Energie Cottbus | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | VfL Osnabruck | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Apr | Karlsruher SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 1–5 | L |
| 26 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SV 07 Elversberg to score. At the same time, SC Paderborn 07 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 4' GOAL! Maximilian Rohr scores on 4. Assisted by Lukas Petkov
- 9' David Mokwa Ntusu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
- 14' Over 14 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 17' Assisted by Lasse Gunther with the perfectly-timed delivery and David Mokwa Ntusu makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 22' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Against the run of play, Lukas Petkov has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' That is a card for SV 07 Elversberg. Jan Gyamerah will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' A stunning finish from Lukas Petkov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 43' Immanuel Pherai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tjark Scheller on 47 minutes.
- 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' Felix Gotze needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Amara Conde on 64.
- 65' Magnificent from Calvin Brackelmann! That is 4 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 70' Ruben Muller has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 74' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 78' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
- 83' Florian Le Joncour has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 90' Poor challenge from Nick Batzner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- The points are shared — SV 07 Elversberg 5-1 SC Paderborn 07. Honours even.
Lineups
SV 07 Elversberg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 30
- 31
- 22
- 25
- 21
- 29
- 20
- 8
- 3
- 42
Bench
- 23
- 28
- 24
- 16
- 10
- 17
- 14
- 2
- 15
Coach
Vincent Wagner
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 20
- 7
- 30
- 4
- 41
- 5
- 17
- 3
- 14
- 25
- 2
Bench
- 8
- 1
- 11
- 26
- 27
- 9
- 22
- 10
- 24
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Petkov | 2 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 2 |
| Luca Schnellbacher | 2 |
| Carlo Sickinger | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
| Maximilian Rohr | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Sirlord Conteh | 1 |
Head to Head
SV 07 Elversberg Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-05-03
SV 07 Elversberg
5–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2026-04-26
SC Paderborn 07
2–3
FC Schalke 04
L
2026-04-18
Hannover 96
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-04-12
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
1. FC Magdeburg
W
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97
SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SV 07 Elversberg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
47%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg
| Handicap | SV 07 Elversberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

