SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2025-26

SV 07 Elversberg

5 – 1

Full Time

SC Paderborn 07

Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,027 HT 45' · FT 45'

Maximilian Rohr 4' 1–0

David Mokwa Ntusu 17' 2–0

Lukas Petkov 28' 3–0

Lukas Petkov 41' 4–0

4–1 65' Calvin Brackelmann

Raif Adam 90+3' 5–1

Jan Gyamerah 38' Y

Immanuel Pherai 43' Y

Y 47' Tjark Scheller

Amara Conde 64' Y

Y 74' Kennedy Okpala

Y 78' Steffen Tigges

Y 90' Nick Batzner

YR 90' Steffen Tigges

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

SV 07 Elversberg 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	6
2	Hertha BSC	2	6
3	Karlsruher SC	2	4
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	4
5	Eintracht Braunschweig	2	3
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	3
7	VfL Bochum 1848	2	3
8	FC Energie Cottbus	2	3
9	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	2	3
10	1. FC Magdeburg	2	3
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	2	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	2
13	FC St. Pauli 1910	2	2
14	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2	2
15	SV Darmstadt 98	2	1
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903	2	1
17	Hannover 96	2	0
18	VfL Osnabruck	2	0

Head-to-Head

SV 07 Elversberg 6 games · Avg 4.0 goals SC Paderborn 07

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-03 SV 07 Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07 2025-12-06 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SV 07 Elversberg 2025-04-26 SC Paderborn 07 1–1 SV 07 Elversberg 2024-11-30 SV 07 Elversberg 1–3 SC Paderborn 07 2024-04-27 SC Paderborn 07 3–1 SV 07 Elversberg

Recent Form

SV 07 Elversberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	SC Paderborn 07	H	5–1	W
25 Apr	SV Darmstadt 98	A	3–3	D
17 Apr	Karlsruher SC	H	3–0	W
12 Apr	FC Schalke 04	H	1–2	L
05 Apr	Hannover 96	A	1–1	D
21 Mar	Arminia Bielefeld	H	3–1	W

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	SV 07 Elversberg	A	1–5	L
26 Apr	FC Schalke 04	H	2–3	L
18 Apr	Hannover 96	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	1. FC Magdeburg	H	4–3	W
05 Apr	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903	A	2–0	W
21 Mar	SG Dynamo Dresden	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Ursapharm-Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07.
4' Magnificent from Maximilian Rohr! That is 3 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
14' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
17' David Mokwa Ntusu is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
22' Jonah Sticker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SV 07 Elversberg tonight.
27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
28' Lukas Petkov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
33' SV 07 Elversberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
38' SV 07 Elversberg receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
41' A stunning finish from Lukas Petkov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
43' Immanuel Pherai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tjark Scheller on 47.
52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Wagner will be considering his options from the bench.
57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Castaneda made 145 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
64' It’s gonna be a card for Amara Conde.
65' The Germany defender Calvin Brackelmann breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 4-1!
70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stefano Marino is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
74' The referee has no hesitation. Kennedy Okpala is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 74.
78' That looks like a foul for a card for Steffen Tigges.
83' SV 07 Elversberg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 5-3-2 shape.
88' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Laurin Curda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nick Batzner on 90 minutes.
5-1 the final result. SC Paderborn 07 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

SV 07 Elversberg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Wagner

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralf Kettemann

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Calvin Brackelmann	2
Luca Schnellbacher	2
Lukas Petkov	2
Koen Kostons	1
Florian Le Joncour	1
Maurice Neubauer	1
Filip Bilbija	1
Paul Stock	1

Head to Head

SV 07 Elversberg Form

2026-05-03 SV 07 Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07 W 2026-04-25 SV Darmstadt 98 3–3 SV 07 Elversberg D 2026-04-17 SV 07 Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC W 2026-04-12 SV 07 Elversberg 1–2 FC Schalke 04 L 2026-04-05 Hannover 96 1–1 SV 07 Elversberg D 2026-03-21 SV 07 Elversberg 3–1 Arminia Bielefeld W

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2026-05-03 SV 07 Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07 L 2026-04-26 SC Paderborn 07 2–3 FC Schalke 04 L 2026-04-18 Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2026-04-12 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg W 2026-04-05 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2026-03-21 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.97 SV 07 Elversberg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 SC Paderborn 07 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SV 07 Elversberg53% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0723%

Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw

77%

Draw or SC Paderborn 07

47%

SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SV 07 Elversberg39% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0719%

Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 0

7.3%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 0

5.6%

3 – 0

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.8%

0 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap	SV 07 Elversberg covers	Push	SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	21%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.