Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
AC Milan
2 – 3
Full Time
Atalanta BC
Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Ederson
0–2 29' Davide Zappacosta
0–3 51' Giacomo Raspadori
Strahinja Pavlovic 88' 1–3
Christopher Nkunku pen 90+4' 2–3
Rafael Leao 34' Y
Y 70' Isak Hien
Pervis Estupinan 89' Y
Adrien Rabiot 89' Y
Alexis Saelemaekers 90' Y
Y 90' Nikola Krstovic
Y 90' Raoul Bellanova

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

9
8
7
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atalanta BC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC 2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–3 L
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AC Milan A 3–2 W
02 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce A 3–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #11
11 Points 6
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 5
4 Conceded 7
+6 GD -2
2.20 PPG 1.20
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
Atalanta BC
Ederson 1 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Nikola Krstovic 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Nikola Krstovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atalanta BC so far.
  • 7' What a strike from Ederson! The score is 0-1.
  • 12' AC Milan currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 22' Strahinja Pavlovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 27 appearances.
  • 27' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Atalanta BC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 29' The Italy Davide Zappacosta breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 0-2!
  • 34' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 34.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Giorgio Scalvini, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 530 games and scored 719 goals.
  • 51' Magnificent from Giacomo Raspadori! That is 41 goals in 389 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' Atalanta BC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' Belgium international Koni De Winter has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Isak Hien suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Isak Hien.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 88' Strahinja Pavlovic adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Pervis Estupinan. He receives a card.
  • 90' Alexis Saelemaekers is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimiliano Allegri

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 3
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Ederson 2
Krzysztof Piatek 2

Head to Head

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC 2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC

AC Milan Form

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC L 2026-05-03 US Sassuolo Calcio 2–0 AC Milan L 2026-04-26 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus FC D 2026-04-19 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W 2026-04-11 AC Milan 0–3 Udinese Calcio L 2026-04-06 SSC Napoli 1–0 AC Milan L

Atalanta BC Form

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC W 2026-05-02 Atalanta BC 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2026-04-27 Cagliari Calcio 3–2 Atalanta BC L 2026-04-18 AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta BC D 2026-04-11 Atalanta BC 0–1 Juventus FC L 2026-04-06 US Lecce 0–3 Atalanta BC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Atalanta BC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw26% Atalanta BC32%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
68%
Draw or Atalanta BC
58%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan34% Draw44% Atalanta BC22%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.