Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
2 3
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Ederson
0–2 29' Davide Zappacosta
0–3 51' Giacomo Raspadori
Strahinja Pavlovic 88' 1–3
Christopher Nkunku pen 90+4' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–3 L
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AC Milan A 3–2 W
02 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce A 3–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#8 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting Atalanta BC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The 27-year-old Ederson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 7' Ederson puts Atalanta BC on the lead.
  • 12' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Raffaele Palladino will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
  • 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' Ruben Loftus-Cheek has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 409 appearances.
  • 29' Davide Zappacosta is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 34' Rafael Leao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giacomo Raspadori is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' Marten de Roon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 51' Brilliant from the ! Giacomo Raspadori makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 51.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimiliano Allegri might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 66' Mike Maignan, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Isak Hien.
  • 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 525 games and scored 714 goals.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nikola Krstovic made 3 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Atalanta BC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 88' The Serbia Strahinja Pavlovic breaks the deadlock on 88 minutes. 1-3!
  • 89' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Alexis Saelemaekers on 90 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • Atalanta BC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.61 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Atalanta BC or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan23% Draw35% Atalanta BC42%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
58%
Draw or Atalanta BC
77%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan13% Draw60% Atalanta BC27%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
22.3%
0 – 1
18.5%
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 3
2.2%
2 – 2
2%
0 – 4
0.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 15% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 26% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.