Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
4 – 1
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,600 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan-Niklas Beste 24' 1–0
Igor Matanovic 26' 2–0
2–1 33' Assan Ouedraogo
Matthias Ginter 47' 3–1
Derry Scherhant 75' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Maibaum
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May SC Freiburg A 1–4 L
09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg RB Leipzig
#3 Position #9
10 Points 6
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
12 Scored 9
3 Conceded 5
+9 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.50
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Europa-Park Stadion will turn into a battlefield for SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Schuster might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 24' Jan-Niklas Beste adds to his 0 season tally! SC Freiburg lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 26' GOAL! Igor Matanovic scores on 26. Assisted by Johan Manzambi
  • 31' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' The deadlock is broken! Assan Ouedraogo gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 43' SC Freiburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 47' The deadlock is broken! Matthias Ginter gets on the scoresheet on 47 minutes.
  • 52' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 57' A quiet spell here at Europa-Park Stadion. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conrad Harder suffering a number of foals already.
  • 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' Derry Scherhant is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christoph Baumgartner on 77.
  • 82' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 87' Jordy Makengo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SC Freiburg to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg56% Draw23% RB Leipzig21%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
78%
Draw or RB Leipzig
44%
SC Freiburg or RB Leipzig
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg45% Draw38% RB Leipzig17%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.