Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ryan Lee (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–3 L
09 Nov Celtic FC A 0–4 L
01 Nov Falkirk FC A 1–3 L
29 Oct Aberdeen FC H 0–1 L
26 Oct Rangers FC A 1–3 L
18 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Kilmarnock FC A 3–1 W
09 Nov Aberdeen FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Dundee United FC H 2–0 W
25 Oct Livingston FC A 2–1 W
18 Oct Falkirk FC H 1–2 L
05 Oct Celtic FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Motherwell FC
#12 Position #3
0 Points 4
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 0
4 Scored 2
9 Conceded 1
-5 GD +1
0.00 PPG 2.00
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Motherwell FC are 3rd (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Motherwell FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.89 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.56 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Motherwell FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC16% Draw20% Motherwell FC64%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
37%
Draw or Motherwell FC
84%
Kilmarnock FC or Motherwell FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC11% Draw36% Motherwell FC53%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 3
8.6%
1 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
5.4%
1 – 4
4.9%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 28% 72%
+1 28% 21% 51%
+1.5 49% 51%
+2 49% 21% 30%
+2.5 70% 30%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
9%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.