Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa FC, Europe 2025-26 FINAL

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Wed 20 May 2026 · 21:00 UTC Tupras Stadyumu HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Youri Tielemans
0–2 45+3' Emiliano Buendia
0–3 58' Morgan Rogers

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa FC — Europe at Tupras Stadyumu.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

1
SC Freiburg 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
16 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
15 May Liverpool FC H 4–2 W
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Aston Villa FC
#7 Position #2
17 Points 21
8 Played 8
5 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
10 Scored 14
4 Conceded 6
+6 GD +8
2.13 PPG 2.63
63% Win % 88%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Freiburg are 7th (17 pts). Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SC Freiburg and Aston Villa FC has kicked off!
  • 5' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Philipp Treu.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Emiliano Buendia was booked on 15.
  • 16' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emiliano Buendia.
  • 21' The referee calls foul for Matty Cash. He receives a card.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Freiburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' GOAL! Youri Tielemans fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 46' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Emiliano Buendia gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 49' Magnificent from Emiliano Buendia! That is 43 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vincenzo Grifo, as he is very good at scoring at Tupras Stadyumu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 58' Morgan Rogers makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
  • 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Nicolas Hofler has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' Maximilian Eggestein has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Freiburg and Aston Villa FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' John McGinn picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Freiburg.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg24% Draw29% Aston Villa FC47%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
53%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
76%
SC Freiburg or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg16% Draw49% Aston Villa FC35%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 24% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 16% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.