Monday , 21 September 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SC Internacional H 1–0 W
12 Sep SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
05 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
29 Aug RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
23 Aug Chapecoense AF A 0–1 L
16 Aug Coritiba FBC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Coritiba FBC H 5–0 W
12 Sep Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
06 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–1 W
23 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
16 Aug Santos FC H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama
#11 Position #16
36 Points 31
27 Played 27
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 12
32 Scored 34
30 Conceded 41
+2 GD -7
1.33 PPG 1.15
37% Win % 30%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Sao Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

H2H

Predictions

1.62 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Sao Paulo FC48% Draw27% CR Vasco da Gama25%

Both Teams to Score

Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.71

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
52%
Sao Paulo FC or CR Vasco da Gama
73%

Half-Time Result

Sao Paulo FC34% Draw46% CR Vasco da Gama20%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.