Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 4–4 | D |
| 23 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Kashiwa Reysol | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #3 |
| 20 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 24 | Scored | 46 |
| 25 | Conceded | 44 |
| -1 | GD | +2 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 4 G | 1 A |
| Mao Hosoya | 3 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 10 G | |
| Yudai Kimura | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Hiromu Mitsumaru has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' The 20-year-old Shungo Sugiura has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tsukasa Morishima, as he is very good at scoring at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Mao Hosoya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Kakita on 46 minute.
- 47' GOAL! Kennedy Egbus Mikuni fires home to make it 0-1!
- 52' Kashiwa Reysol are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 57' Kashiwa Reysol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 62' Kashiwa Reysol currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 63' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Hiromu Mitsumaru trudges off to be replaced by Daiki Sugioka on 63 minutes.
- 65' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Yuki Nogami has done his job and it is now time for Soichiro Mori to step up.
- 70' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Yudai Konishi has done his job and it is now time for Sachiro Toshima to step up.
- 75' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashiwa Reysol in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 76' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Yota Sato trudges off to be replaced by Akinari Kawazura on 76 minutes.
- 81' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashiwa Reysol side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' Shungo Sugiura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yudai Kimura at the 89 minute mark.
- Kashiwa Reysol celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 14
- 8
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↓ Mao Hosoya 46'
-
21
Yudai Konishi ↓ Sachiro Toshima 70'
-
3
Diego ↓ Yusuke Segawa 46'
- 42
- 88
- 39
Bench
- 40
- 22
- 13
-
20
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 46'
-
26
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 63'
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↑ 46'
- 19
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 70'
- 29
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 65'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Soichiro Mori 65'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 7
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Keiya Shiihashi 76'
-
3
Yota Sato ↓ Akinari Kawazura 76'
- 33
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Shungo Sugiura 89'
- 20
Bench
-
8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 76'
- 77
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 65'
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 76'
- 55
- 35
- 26
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 89'
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
52%
Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.