SC Paderborn 07 vs Karlsruher SC, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2025-26

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 2

Full Time

Karlsruher SC

Fri 8 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 14,640 HT 45' · FT 45'

Filip Bilbija 20' 1–0

1–1 75' Fabian Schleusener

1–2 79' Shio Fukuda

Sebastian Klaas 85' 2–2

Y 10' Philipp Forster

Y 14' Christoph Kobald

Y 48' Andreas Muller

Y 90' Rafael Pinto Pedrosa

Y 90' Marvin Wanitzek

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Karlsruher SC — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Karlsruher SC 34 games · 44 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robin Braun
Assistant 1 Florian Heft
Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic

14 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 6 games · Avg 3.2 goals Karlsruher SC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-08 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Karlsruher SC 2025-12-13 Karlsruher SC 0–4 SC Paderborn 07 2025-05-18 Karlsruher SC 3–0 SC Paderborn 07 2024-12-21 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Karlsruher SC 2024-04-13 SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Karlsruher SC

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 May	Karlsruher SC	H	2–2	D
03 May	SV 07 Elversberg	A	1–5	L
26 Apr	FC Schalke 04	H	2–3	L
18 Apr	Hannover 96	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	1. FC Magdeburg	H	4–3	W
05 Apr	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	A	2–0	W

Karlsruher SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 May	SC Paderborn 07	A	2–2	D
03 May	SV Darmstadt 98	H	2–1	W
25 Apr	Hannover 96	H	1–3	L
17 Apr	SV 07 Elversberg	A	0–3	L
10 Apr	Arminia Bielefeld	H	4–1	W
05 Apr	FC Schalke 04	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07		Karlsruher SC
#3	Position	#10
62	Points	44
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 8 / 14
59	Scored	53
45	Conceded	64
+14	GD	-11
1.82	PPG	1.29
53%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

15% Clean Sheets
Karlsruher SC this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). Karlsruher SC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Karlsruher SC

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/4

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Home Deluxe Arena will turn into a battlefield for SC Paderborn 07 and Karlsruher SC.
5' Jonah Sticker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
10' The referee calls foul for Philipp Forster. He receives a card.
14' It’s a booking for Karlsruher SC player. Christoph Kobald gets a card.
19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
20' Filip Bilbija puts SC Paderborn 07 on the lead.
25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
35' The travelling Karlsruher SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Karlsruher SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
48' The referee shows Karlsruher SC player a card on 48.
53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
58' It’s high time Ralf Kettemann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
63' It looks surprising Karlsruher SC does not make any changes. Santiago Castaneda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
68' Karlsruher SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
73' Christoph Kobald needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
75' Goal! Fabian Schleusener scores his 22 goal in 154 matches.
79' GOAL! Shio Fukuda scores on 79. Assisted by David Herold
84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nick Batzner suffering a number of foals already.
85' Goal! Sebastian Klaas scores his 11 goal in 41 matches.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Pinto Pedrosa on 90.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralf Kettemann

Karlsruher SC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Christian Eichner

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Felix Platte	2
Lilian Egloff	2
Sebastian Klaas	1
Filip Bilbija	1
Adriano Grimaldi	1
Igor Matanovic	1
Sirlord Conteh	1
Sebastian Jung	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2026-05-08 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Karlsruher SC D 2026-05-03 SV 07 Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07 L 2026-04-26 SC Paderborn 07 2–3 FC Schalke 04 L 2026-04-18 Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2026-04-12 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg W 2026-04-05 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 W

Karlsruher SC Form

2026-05-08 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Karlsruher SC D 2026-05-03 Karlsruher SC 2–1 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2026-04-25 Karlsruher SC 1–3 Hannover 96 L 2026-04-17 SV 07 Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC L 2026-04-10 Karlsruher SC 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld W 2026-04-05 FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.33 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Karlsruher SC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0751% Draw23% Karlsruher SC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

74%

Draw or Karlsruher SC

49%

SC Paderborn 07 or Karlsruher SC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0741% Draw38% Karlsruher SC21%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.4%

1 – 1

8.2%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

1 – 0

4.4%

3 – 0

4.3%

4 – 1

3.8%

2 – 3

3.4%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	Karlsruher SC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	16%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	20%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	13%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Karlsruher SC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.