Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Groningen vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season 🟨 0.1/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AFC Ajax H 3–1 W
01 Mar FC Volendam A 2–3 L
22 Feb FC Twente '65 A 1–2 L
14 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
08 Feb PSV H 1–2 L
31 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D
21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Groningen AFC Ajax
#9 Position #7
3 Points 3
1 Played 1
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 0
2 Scored 2
1 Conceded 0
+1 GD +2
3.00 PPG 3.00
100% Win % 100%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

FC Groningen are 9th (3 pts). AFC Ajax are 7th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Groningen host AFC Ajax — let the battle begin!
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.88 FC Groningen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Groningen28% Draw30% AFC Ajax42%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC Groningen or Draw
57%
Draw or AFC Ajax
72%
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Groningen17% Draw50% AFC Ajax33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Groningen

Handicap FC Groningen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 24% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
25%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.