FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
- FC Groningen 34 games · 48 pts (2025/26)
- AFC Ajax 34 games · 56 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
35 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 2 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 34 84 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 34 65 3 NEC 34 59 4 FC Twente '65 34 58 5 AFC Ajax 34 56 6 FC Utrecht 34 53 7 AZ 34 52 8 SC Heerenveen 34 51 9 FC Groningen 34 48 10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 34 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 38 13 SBV Excelsior 34 38 14 Telstar 1963 34 37 15 PEC Zwolle 34 37 16 FC Volendam 34 32 17 NAC Breda 34 29 18 Heracles Almelo 34 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 07 Mar AFC Ajax H 3–1 W 01 Mar FC Volendam A 2–3 L 22 Feb FC Twente '65 A 1–2 L 14 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–2 L 08 Feb PSV H 1–2 L 31 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L 01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D 21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D 14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W 08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D 01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D Season Stats
FC Groningen AFC Ajax #9 Position #5 48 Points 56 34 Played 34 14 / 6 / 14 W / D / L 14 / 14 / 6 49 Scored 62 45 Conceded 41 +4 GD +21 1.41 PPG 1.65 41% Win % 41% Key Stats
57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history29% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this seasonFC Groningen are 9th (48 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (56 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Groningen0-152/116-30–/231-452/146-603/–61-75–/276+2/2■ Scored ■ ConcededAFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Groningen players.
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Lineups
FC Groningen Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Dusan Tadic 4 Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 4 Steven Bergwijn 3 Antony 2 Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 2 Wout Weghorst 2 Davy Klaassen 2 Steven Berghuis 2 Head to Head
FC Groningen Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.51 FC Groningen xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.55 AFC Ajax xGI would bet for: FC Groningen or AFC Ajax 73% + Both teams to score 61%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Groningen winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.06Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 81% 19% ± 2.5 58% 42% ± 3.5 37% 63% ± 4.5 20% 80% Double Chance
FC Groningen or Draw 64%Draw or AFC Ajax 63%FC Groningen or AFC Ajax 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11.9%1 – 2 8.2%2 – 1 7.9%0 – 1 6.5%0 – 0 6.4%1 – 0 6.2%2 – 2 6.2%0 – 2 5.6%2 – 0 5.3%1 – 3 4.3%3 – 1 Actual2 – 3 3.3%Asian Handicap — FC Groningen
Handicap FC Groningen covers Push AFC Ajax covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 11% 82% -1.5 18% — 82% -1 18% 18% 64% -0.5 36% — 64% +0.5 62% — 38% +1 62% 19% 19% +1.5 81% — 19% +2 81% 11% 8% +2.5 92% — 8% Clean Sheet
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet 22% ✓AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.